Both Sides: Why we don't fuck with the GOP

playahaitian

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Affirmative action for white men​

Judd Legum
,
Rebecca Crosby
, and
Noel Sims
Feb 04, 2025




Since taking office on January 20, President Donald Trump has targeted so-called "diversity, equity, and inclusion" programs, also known as DEI. According to a January 21 executive order, "critical and influential institutions of American society, including the Federal Government, major corporations, financial institutions, the medical industry, large commercial airlines, law enforcement agencies, and institutions of higher education have adopted and actively use dangerous, demeaning, and immoral race- and sex-based preferences" under the guise of DEI. These programs, according to Trump and his administration, "undermine our national unity, as they deny, discredit, and undermine the traditional American values of hard work, excellence, and individual achievement in favor of an unlawful, corrosive, and pernicious identity-based spoils system."
The executive order suggests there is pervasive discrimination against hard-working white men, who are being replaced by less-qualified women and minorities. This point was made explicitly last October by Darren Beattie, who was just hired for a senior State Department role by the Trump administration. "Competent white men must be in charge if you want things to work," Beattie wrote in a post on X. "Unfortunately, our entire national ideology is predicated on coddling the feelings of women and minorities, and demoralizing competent white men."


Beattie was fired from his job at Duke University in 2018 for attending a white nationalist convention.
The executive order claims that corporate DEI programs constitute "illegal discrimination." The executive order mandates that each federal agency "shall identify up to nine potential civil compliance investigations" into large corporations or non-profit groups for implementing DEI programs.
This legal analysis is flawed. In Students for Fair Admissions, the Supreme Court ruled that race-based affirmative action programs in college admissions are illegal. But Students for Fair Admissions does not have any impact on corporations because affirmative action in employment situations, in almost all circumstances, is already illegal. The Civil Rights Act of 1964 banned the consideration of race in hiring. Corporate DEI programs involve "expanding outreach for new hires, creating employee resource groups for underrepresented workers, and reducing bias in hiring through such practices as 'blind' applications."
The push to eliminate DEI is effectively affirmative action for white men, eliminating programs that help corporations attract and retain qualified minorities and women.
Beyond the flawed legal analysis, however, is an empirical question: Is corporate America biased against white people? Are white people being shut out of desirable jobs to accommodate an influx of racial minorities? According to the latest data, the answer to these questions is an emphatic "no."

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Women and minorities are severely underrepresented in corporate America

The reality is, even with diversity efforts, women and minorities remain badly underrepresented in corporate America.
According to a 2024 report by McKinsey, women have made modest gains in the workplace over the last 10 years. But at the current rate of progress, McKinsey projected that it will take 22 years for white women and 48 years for women of color to attain the same level of representation in senior leadership roles as they have in the general population.
The number of women in executive positions has jumped from 17% in 2015 to 29% in 2024. While this is a significant gain, the report found that much of it was due to companies eliminating positions historically held by men and hiring women for new support roles in legal, HR, and IT departments. Companies cannot continue adding such positions indefinitely, so the gains women made are not sustainable. Additionally, the study found that women are less likely to get hired to entry-level positions than men and less likely to get their first promotion.
The representation of Black people in the workforce has seen little to no improvement since DEI initiatives gained traction in 2020, based on a Bloomberg analysis of data that 84 top U.S. companies provided to the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission in 2023.
The proportion of Black employees at these 84 companies reached a peak in 2021 at 17%, but has been on the decline since. Twenty-six percent of all jobs cut by these companies in 2023 were held by Black employees. Among the 84 companies, which are more diverse than the US workforce as a whole, the share of Black people in senior leadership roles decreased at more than half since 2020.
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While white men saw their representation in executive positions and the workforce overall decrease, they are still overrepresented in higher paying positions, making up 46% of executive roles and 37% of managers, but less than a third of the workforce of the companies analyzed by Bloomberg.
While corporate boards have made some progress in increasing representation of women and minorities in recent years, the upward trend is slowing, according to a 2024 report by the Conference Board. Gender and racial diversity “reached record levels in 2024,” but “the proportion of new directors who are women or from non-White backgrounds has declined since a high in 2022.”
While women now make up 34% of directors in the S&P 500 and 29% in the Russell 3000, they are still vastly underrepresented, as women make up “47% of all U.S. employees” and 50.5% of the population. In 2024, women only made up 11% of board chairs in the S&P 500 and 8% in the Russell 3000.
In 2024, there were slightly more minority directors and board chairs compared to 2020. But the number of newly hired Black, LGBTQ, and non-white women directors fell since 2022. The number of new white directors significantly increased, reaching 69% in both indexes. The report notes that the decreasing trends may “signal some waning of momentum in corporate diversity initiatives amid heightened political and social scrutiny.”
 

playahaitian

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As measles outbreak rages in Texas, RFK Jr. pushes anti-vaccine message​

Rebecca Crosby
and
Noel Sims
Feb 19, 2025



Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks after being sworn in as Secretary of Health and Human Services in the Oval Office at the White House on February 13, 2025. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
The largest measles outbreak Texas has seen in over 30 years is sweeping through the western part of the state. According to information released yesterday by the Texas Department of State Health Services, 58 cases have been confirmed throughout five counties. The total number of cases is likely much higher, however, with “health officials suspect[ing] that between 200 and 300 people are infected but untested.”
The vast majority of cases are occurring among the unvaccinated. Only four confirmed cases in Texas were vaccinated. Gaines County, which has the most confirmed cases, is a rural area that has one of the highest vaccine exemption rates in Texas. During the 2023-2024 school year, 18% of kindergarten students had not received the MMR vaccine, which protects against measles, mumps, and rubella.
Meanwhile, RFK Jr., who was confirmed last week as the Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS), appeared in Texas on Tuesday. He did not address the burgeoning measles crisis. Instead, he continued his anti-vaccine advocacy, falsely suggesting that childhood vaccines like MMR may be linked to chronic illnesses. He said he would convene a new panel to study the childhood vaccination schedule and other “formally taboo” issues.
Eight measles cases have also been reported in nearby New Mexico. While it is likely that the cases are related to the Texas outbreak, a connection has not yet been established.
Vaccination rates have been falling across the country in recent years. In the 2022-2023 school year, vaccine requirements were only met by 93% of kindergarten students, falling short of the 95% necessary in order to stop the risk of outbreaks. Across the country, around 280,000 kindergarten students did not have a documented MMR vaccine during the 2023-2024 school year.
Measles is a highly contagious and dangerous disease. According to the CDC, “one infected patient can spread measles [to] up to nine out of 10 susceptible close contacts.” Thirteen of the confirmed cases in Texas, which have primarily occurred among children and young adults, have resulted in hospitalization. Symptoms of the disease include a high fever, cough, and a rash. In severe cases, the disease can cause “blindness, pneumonia or encephalitis, swelling of the brain.”
Twenty percent of measles cases among the unvaccinated result in hospitalization and “between one and three of every 1,000 children who get measles die from respiratory or neurologic complications,” Forbes reported. Before vaccines became widely available, “measles was the single leading killer of young children globally.”
The MMR vaccine, which is administered in two doses, is highly effective and safe. Getting both doses provides 97% effectiveness against the disease, with one shot providing 93% effectiveness, according to the CDC. The disease was declared eliminated in the U.S. in 2000 due to the effectiveness of the vaccine. But in recent years, cases have begun to climb as vaccination rates have fallen. In 2024, there were 285 confirmed cases across 33 states, with 89% of cases occurring among the unvaccinated or those with an unknown vaccination status. According to the CDC, there have been at least 14 other cases this year, not including the Texas outbreak.
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How Kennedy infected the world with anti-vaccine propaganda

In 2005, Kennedy published a nearly 5,000-word article in Rolling Stone and Salon, claiming that thimerosal, a preservative used in vaccines, was responsible for rising numbers of autism diagnoses in children. Kennedy’s argument relied on a study that was fraudulent. Meanwhile, the "Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the World Health Organization, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine, and the American Academy of Pediatrics, along with dozens of studies published in prestigious, peer-reviewed journals" have all concluded that there is no link between vaccines and autism. In fact, while the use of thimerosal in vaccines has declined, autism diagnoses have continued to increase.
While Kennedy's article was eventually retracted by both outlets, Kennedy’s crusade against vaccines continued.
In 2015, while promoting the anti-vaccine documentary "Trace Amounts," Kennedy escalated his rhetoric. "They get the shot, that night they have a fever of a hundred and three, they go to sleep, and three months later their brain is gone," Kennedy said. "This is a holocaust, what this is doing to our country.”
The same year, Kennedy joined the board of the World Mercury Project, now called Children’s Health Defense (CHD), which has been a major source of anti-vaccine activism since 2007. Until it was banned by Meta in 2022, CHD was one of the biggest buyers of anti-vaccine ads on Facebook.
In 2018, when two babies died in Samoa soon after receiving the MMR vaccine, Kennedy and CHD pounced. CHD launched a social media campaign alleging that the babies had died because the vaccines were inherently dangerous. (In fact, the two vaccines at issue had been administered incorrectly.) The Samoan government paused the vaccine program briefly, but when it restarted, many parents were still skeptical — their fears stoked by groups like CHD — and vaccination rates plummeted. In September 2019, a measles outbreak infected over 5,000 Samoans and killed 83, mostly young children. During the outbreak, Kennedy sent a letter to Samoa’s prime minister warning that vaccinations could be spreading the disease. Kennedy also visited Samoa in 2019 and met with anti-vaccine activist Taylor Winterstein.

“Nobody died in Samoa from measles,” Kennedy told an interviewer in August 2024. “They were dying from a bad vaccine.”

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Despite two decades as an anti-vaccine crusader, Kennedy convinced Republican Senators that he would not restrict access to vaccines as the head of HHS.
Senator Bill Cassidy (R-LA) is a physician and a strong advocate for vaccines. In a post on X today, Cassidy called the measles outbreak in Texas “serious” and promoted the efficacy of the MMR vaccine.

Cassidy said he cast a key vote in favor of Kennedy after “Kennedy gave him assurances that he would not alter the federal vaccine schedule.” A few days after his confirmation, Kennedy is already “investigating” whether the current vaccine schedule is harming Americans.
 

playahaitian

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1. EDUCATION CUTS ARE UNPOPULAR
USA Today reported that Trump is set to sign an executive order today to begin the dismantling of the Department of Education. That would be an unpopular move, if public sentiment about last week’s cuts to the department’s staff is any indication.
Voter support for Trump’s layoffs of more than 1,300 Department of Education employees
250318-charts-education12.png
Our March 14-16 survey found nearly half of voters oppose the Education Department’s layoffs of more than 1,300 employees. The survey found a striking gender divide, with a majority of women (56%) in opposition to the move and half of men (50%) supporting it, alongside expected partisan gaps. A majority of independents oppose the layoffs.

The imminent move to dismantle the department, which Trump’s order reportedly says will “return education authority to the States,” is a long-sought policy goal on the right that’s been in the party’s platform since the Reagan era. It emerged again during the tea party movement, and was embraced by the Heritage Foundation’s “Project 2025” that underlines a number of the cuts Trump’s pursuing.

It’s also very unpopular.
Shares of voters who say the Department of Education should receive …
250318-charts-education-22.png
According to our mid-February survey on cuts related to Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency initiative, just 11% of voters would slash the Education Department’s funding altogether, including only 17% of Republicans. The majority of all voters, including half of those in the GOP, would at least maintain it.

Trump’s planned shuttering of the department, which requires congressional action, is almost certainly dead on arrival in the Senate, where Democrats retain their filibuster. And whether the Republicans in Congress go along with what Politico called “the fullest extent of his demolition plan” is uncertain given misgivings from some in the president’s own party.

While Trump’s order will reportedly tell Education Secretary Linda McMahon to “ensure the department continues to deliver its services, programs, and benefits,” school districts and universities that rely on the funding — including in the form of its massive student loan program — are next to face Trump’s uncertainty.
2. IT’S TRUMP’S ECONOMY NOW
Shares who say the following is most responsible for the condition of the economy
250318-charts-economy.png
We told you last month why Trump would have a hard time blaming his predecessor for any economic pain, and our latest findings show you why we were right about that.

In a reversal from last month, more voters than not now say current economic conditions are mostly the result of Trump’s policies instead of President Joe Biden’s. That shift comes as Democrats and independents increasingly see Trump as responsible for the economy.

But as Trump hits the two-month mark of his term today, GOP voters have moved the other way.

Compared with our February survey, the share of Republicans who said Biden is mostly responsible for current economic conditions increased, while fewer say it’s Trump.

This latest survey follows a month of stock market slides related to Trump's tariffs that was capped by his refusal to rule out an American recession.

Trump has tried to blame Biden for any bad economic news, especially inflation.
That message may be working among the Republican base, but not with the wider electorate. As we showed you Tuesday, Trump’s approval rating has fallen underwater, driven in part by women, lower earners and non-Republicans — the same groups who are turning on his tariff policies.

As he gets further into his term, the Biden blame game is unlikely to find more attentive ears. While politicians might be able to get away with blaming the former president in the short term, nobody should question whether Republicans will have to answer for the Trump economy — good and bad — come next November.

In a related read from me on weakening support for Trump’s tariff-focused trade agenda, see how that’s now extending to his protectionist levies meant to shield American metal manufacturers from foreign competitors.

A MESSAGE FROM MORNING CONSULT​

Trump-Tracker-FI.png
Tracking Public Opinion of Trump's Washington
Morning Consult is tracking what voters across the country think about how President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress are governing the United States ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Each week, we’ll update this page with fresh and timely data on all of the major questions facing Washington. See the data here.
3. THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents said whom they’d support if the 2028 Democratic presidential primary were today
2028-democratic-primary-test.png
Former Vice President Kamala Harris remains the front-runner in our very early polling of the potential 2028 Democratic presidential primary field.

The 2024 Democratic nominee is backed by 36% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning independent voters who could vote in the party’s primary in 2028, a nice starting base of support should she run this time for the Democratic nod.

Harris is followed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg (at 10%), who said last week that he will not seek statewide office in Michigan in 2028.

Nobody else on our fairly exhaustive list is garnering double-digit support, and 13% of potential primary voters are understandably undecided at this — we know (!) — very early stage. Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Harris’ 2024 running mate, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and California Gov. Gavin Newsom each have 5% backing.

Billionaire Mark Cuban, who played a high-profile surrogate role for the Harris campaign in 2024, and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro came next at 4% each, followed by New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker at 3%. The trio of governors from Illinois, Kentucky and Michigan and Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota were the only other listed names to garner more than 1%.

Last week, Politico reported that Rahm Emanuel — former White House chief of staff, DCCC chairman and Chicago mayor — is considering a bid. Just 1% of potential Democratic primary voters would support him at this point, and 44% of Democratic voters said they’ve never heard of him.

But as Harris largely eschews the public spotlight except a filmed pull aside following a broadway show and an on-stage interview at an AI conference in Las Vegas, this data does underline an opening for ambitious Democrats to try to fill a leadership gap on the campaign. Most Democratic voters want to fight back against Trump, as evidenced by our polling on a potential shutdown last week.

Efforts by Walz and others to tour the country and criticize Trump, such as his visit to Wisconsin in advance of the state’s Supreme Court election next month, provide avenues to satiate the base’s desire for some resistance to Trump, and keep energy high ahead of the midterm elections.
4. WHAT WE’RE TRACKING
Hearings
On Tuesday, the Senate is set to hold a hearing on Frank Bisignano’s appointment to lead the Social Security Administration amid questions about the Trump administration’s commitment to its funding.

On Thursday, the heads of the National Transportation Safety Board and the Federal Aviation Administration are scheduled to appear before a Senate Commerce Committee subpanel to examine the preliminary findings of an NTSB report on the deadly crash involving an American Airlines passenger jet and an Army Blackhawk helicopter near Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport.

Ukraine
Trump is said to be considering a plan that would have the United States “acquire Ukrainian power plants” as part of an effort “to jump-start talks to halt the Ukraine-Russia war,” according to The Wall Street Journal, which he floated yesterday during a call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The move comes after both sides agreed to a partial cease-fire on energy infrastructure. The Trump administration is planning wider talks in Saudi Arabia in the coming days.

Government funding fallout
Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) told a town hall crowd that his colleagues are “going to have conversations, I'm sure, in the foreseeable future, about all the Democratic leadership” amid criticism of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s handling of legislation to prevent a government shutdown last week, NPR News reported. His ouster seems unlikely, per Senate chronicler Carl Hulse of The New York Times: “History suggests that Democratic senators are not going to start a campaign to remove him when, clumsy as it was, he did what many of them privately wanted.”

As a reminder, we showed you Tuesday that even though Democrats face historically poor headlines, the party’s congressional brand hasn’t taken a big hit among the base or broader electorate.

D.C. funding fix
Trump is pressing House Republicans to get on board with a Senate-passed $1.1 billion fix for the District of Columbia’s budget after lawmakers slashed the capital city’s spending powers. Per Politico, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) is most likely “to pursue an expedited floor maneuver in the coming weeks that requires a two-thirds majority vote to secure passage.”
 

playahaitian

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I am so confused.

@Camille @easy_b @woodchuck


Kamala Harris emerges as clear frontrunner for 2028 Democratic Party nomination: New poll​

  • A new poll shows former Vice President Kamala Harris as the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with 36% support among Democratic voters. She holds a double-digit lead over her closest rival, Pete Buttigieg (10%).

Written By Ravi Hari
Published22 Mar 2025, 09:07 PM IST

Kamala Harris leads early polling for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination but has remained largely out of the public eye since her 2024 loss to Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)
Kamala Harris leads early polling for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination but has remained largely out of the public eye since her 2024 loss to Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)(AP)
Former US Vice President Kamala Harris is the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, according to a new Morning Consult poll released on Friday (March 21). The survey shows Harris with a commanding lead over other potential contenders, though she has not yet announced her intentions for another presidential run.

Harris holds strong lead over rivals​

Kamala Harris, 60, received 36% support among Democratic and Democratic-leaning independent voters, giving her a significant double-digit advantage over her closest competitor, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who secured 10%.
Trailing behind with 5% support were California Governor Gavin Newsom, progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz—Harris’ 2024 running mate.
Other potential candidates registered even lower numbers. Businessman Mark Cuban and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro each polled at 4%, while New Jersey Senator Cory Booker received 3%. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, and Minnesota Senenator Amy Klobuchar each garnered just 2% support.
https://vdo.ai/contact?utm_medium=video&utm_term=livemint.com&utm_source=vdoai_logo


Rahm Emanuel and other potential candidates​

Former Chicago Mayor and White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel has reportedly considered a 2028 bid, but his support remains minimal, with just 1% backing him. Also, 44% of Democratic primary voters surveyed said they had never heard of him.

An opening for Democratic leadership​

While Harris remains the clear leader in early polling, she has largely avoided the public spotlight since her 2024 loss. Her limited appearances, such as a Broadway show outing , have left room for other Democratic figures to step forward.
Democratic voters continue to seek strong opposition to President Trump, as evidenced by polling on potential government shutdowns. Walz and others have begun taking on that role, with the Minnesota governor making a push in key battleground states like Wisconsin ahead of upcoming elections.



Harris’ 2024 defeat​

Harris suffered a decisive loss to President Trump in November, failing to win the popular vote, the Electoral College, or any swing state.

Democratic field remains uncertain​

With no official announcements for 2028, the Democratic field remains uncertain. Harris’ strong polling numbers indicate she retains significant support within the party, but challengers like Buttigieg, Newsom, and Ocasio-Cortez could still emerge as viable contenders.
With 13% of Democratic voters still undecided and no formal announcements from any candidates, the 2028 race remains wide open. For now, Harris holds a substantial early lead, though the race is far from decided.
 

easy_b

Easy_b is in the place to be.
BGOL Investor
I am so confused.

@Camille @easy_b @woodchuck


Kamala Harris emerges as clear frontrunner for 2028 Democratic Party nomination: New poll​

  • A new poll shows former Vice President Kamala Harris as the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with 36% support among Democratic voters. She holds a double-digit lead over her closest rival, Pete Buttigieg (10%).

Written By Ravi Hari
Published22 Mar 2025, 09:07 PM IST

Kamala Harris leads early polling for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination but has remained largely out of the public eye since her 2024 loss to Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)
Kamala Harris leads early polling for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination but has remained largely out of the public eye since her 2024 loss to Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)(AP)
Former US Vice President Kamala Harris is the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, according to a new Morning Consult poll released on Friday (March 21). The survey shows Harris with a commanding lead over other potential contenders, though she has not yet announced her intentions for another presidential run.

Harris holds strong lead over rivals​

Kamala Harris, 60, received 36% support among Democratic and Democratic-leaning independent voters, giving her a significant double-digit advantage over her closest competitor, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who secured 10%.
Trailing behind with 5% support were California Governor Gavin Newsom, progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz—Harris’ 2024 running mate.
Other potential candidates registered even lower numbers. Businessman Mark Cuban and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro each polled at 4%, while New Jersey Senator Cory Booker received 3%. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, and Minnesota Senenator Amy Klobuchar each garnered just 2% support.
https://vdo.ai/contact?utm_medium=video&utm_term=livemint.com&utm_source=vdoai_logo


Rahm Emanuel and other potential candidates​

Former Chicago Mayor and White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel has reportedly considered a 2028 bid, but his support remains minimal, with just 1% backing him. Also, 44% of Democratic primary voters surveyed said they had never heard of him.

An opening for Democratic leadership​

While Harris remains the clear leader in early polling, she has largely avoided the public spotlight since her 2024 loss. Her limited appearances, such as a Broadway show outing , have left room for other Democratic figures to step forward.
Democratic voters continue to seek strong opposition to President Trump, as evidenced by polling on potential government shutdowns. Walz and others have begun taking on that role, with the Minnesota governor making a push in key battleground states like Wisconsin ahead of upcoming elections.



Harris’ 2024 defeat​

Harris suffered a decisive loss to President Trump in November, failing to win the popular vote, the Electoral College, or any swing state.

Democratic field remains uncertain​

With no official announcements for 2028, the Democratic field remains uncertain. Harris’ strong polling numbers indicate she retains significant support within the party, but challengers like Buttigieg, Newsom, and Ocasio-Cortez could still emerge as viable contenders.
With 13% of Democratic voters still undecided and no formal announcements from any candidates, the 2028 race remains wide open. For now, Harris holds a substantial early lead, though the race is far from decided.
There’s no confusion because all the stuff she said it was 110% correct. And people probably want to get back to where things were with Biden. If she’s up for it, I don’t mind it cause Trump set up a good path for her.
 

geechiedan

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
There’s no confusion because all the stuff she said it was 110% correct. And people probably want to get back to where things were with Biden. If she’s up for it, I don’t mind it cause Trump set up a good path for her.
The midterms are gonna show you everything you need to know about how 2028 is gonna go.
 

T_Holmes

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
I am so confused.

@Camille @easy_b @woodchuck


Kamala Harris emerges as clear frontrunner for 2028 Democratic Party nomination: New poll​

  • A new poll shows former Vice President Kamala Harris as the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with 36% support among Democratic voters. She holds a double-digit lead over her closest rival, Pete Buttigieg (10%).

Written By Ravi Hari
Published22 Mar 2025, 09:07 PM IST

Kamala Harris leads early polling for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination but has remained largely out of the public eye since her 2024 loss to Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)
Kamala Harris leads early polling for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination but has remained largely out of the public eye since her 2024 loss to Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)(AP)
Former US Vice President Kamala Harris is the clear frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, according to a new Morning Consult poll released on Friday (March 21). The survey shows Harris with a commanding lead over other potential contenders, though she has not yet announced her intentions for another presidential run.

Harris holds strong lead over rivals​

Kamala Harris, 60, received 36% support among Democratic and Democratic-leaning independent voters, giving her a significant double-digit advantage over her closest competitor, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who secured 10%.
Trailing behind with 5% support were California Governor Gavin Newsom, progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz—Harris’ 2024 running mate.
Other potential candidates registered even lower numbers. Businessman Mark Cuban and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro each polled at 4%, while New Jersey Senator Cory Booker received 3%. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, and Minnesota Senenator Amy Klobuchar each garnered just 2% support.
https://vdo.ai/contact?utm_medium=video&utm_term=livemint.com&utm_source=vdoai_logo


Rahm Emanuel and other potential candidates​

Former Chicago Mayor and White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel has reportedly considered a 2028 bid, but his support remains minimal, with just 1% backing him. Also, 44% of Democratic primary voters surveyed said they had never heard of him.

An opening for Democratic leadership​

While Harris remains the clear leader in early polling, she has largely avoided the public spotlight since her 2024 loss. Her limited appearances, such as a Broadway show outing , have left room for other Democratic figures to step forward.
Democratic voters continue to seek strong opposition to President Trump, as evidenced by polling on potential government shutdowns. Walz and others have begun taking on that role, with the Minnesota governor making a push in key battleground states like Wisconsin ahead of upcoming elections.



Harris’ 2024 defeat​

Harris suffered a decisive loss to President Trump in November, failing to win the popular vote, the Electoral College, or any swing state.

Democratic field remains uncertain​

With no official announcements for 2028, the Democratic field remains uncertain. Harris’ strong polling numbers indicate she retains significant support within the party, but challengers like Buttigieg, Newsom, and Ocasio-Cortez could still emerge as viable contenders.
With 13% of Democratic voters still undecided and no formal announcements from any candidates, the 2028 race remains wide open. For now, Harris holds a substantial early lead, though the race is far from decided.
In a way, it makes sense. As much sense as Trump running again after losing his last campaign did. She would be the most recent voice people had heard in a national campaign, and pretty much everything she said would come to pass has come to pass (and then some).

Also, no one else in the party will have traction or be viable. People that couldn't bring themselves to vote for Kamala are not going to vote for AOC. Bernie is old as hell, and both are better served working in their current positions or something similar.

And as much as I could live with an older white guy just to establish order, there is a bit of defeatism in that move. If we can't push a qualified female and/or minority candidate into the White House after all of this bullshit, then we never will. Might as well go ahead and settle that now.
 

playahaitian

Rising Star
Certified Pussy Poster
In a way, it makes sense. As much sense as Trump running again after losing his last campaign did. She would be the most recent voice people had heard in a national campaign, and pretty much everything she said would come to pass has come to pass (and then some).

Also, no one else in the party will have traction or be viable. People that couldn't bring themselves to vote for Kamala are not going to vote for AOC. Bernie is old as hell, and both are better served working in their current positions or something similar.

And as much as I could live with an older white guy just to establish order, there is a bit of defeatism in that move. If we can't push a qualified female and/or minority candidate into the White House after all of this bullshit, then we never will. Might as well go ahead and settle that now.

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