This got me thinking...
Let's say the Spurs lose 80% of their remaining 30 games-- a 6-24 record in those games.
Here is the
projected bottom 10 teams in the league, ranked from worst to 10th worst, assuming the
Spurs lose 80% of their remaining games while other teams maintain their current win rates.
Rank | Team | Win % | Projected Record |
|---|
1️⃣ | Wizards | .167 | 14-68 |
2️⃣ | Pelicans | .236 | 19-63 |
3️⃣ | Jazz | .241 | 20-62 |
4️⃣ | Hornets | .264 | 22-60 |
5️⃣ | Raptors | .309 | 25-57 |
6️⃣ | Spurs | .353 | 29-53 |
7️⃣ | Nets | .370 | 30-52 |
8️⃣ | 76ers | .370 | 30-52 |
9️⃣ | Bulls | .400 | 33-49 |
| Magic | .482 | 40-42 |
Team > Odds for No. 1 Pick
Team 1: 14.0%
Team 2: 14.0%
Team 3: 14.0%
Team 4: 12.5%
Team 5: 10.5%
Team 6: 9.0%
Team 7: 7.5%
Team 8: 6.0%
Team 9: 4.5%
Team 10: 3.0%
Costanza's Conclusion:
The Spurs should absolutely be tanking! It is not too late! They probably won't get the #1 pick and other teams will tank as well so maybe the Nets or 76ers could be hard to catch but even if they finish with more wins than both of them, that only decreases their odds of winning the top pick by a third, reducing it from 9% to 6%. There is plenty of reason to think they could still finish with a very good draft pick.
www.tankathon.com
) showing they realistically had a nearly 1-in-10 chance of winning the #1 pick as of Thursday if they really tank for it, as they should.
