Anyone investing heavily this year??

[A to Dah K]

NVIDIA doing numbers

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[Flawless]

Dude loves throwing out names of execs he knows because no one will take what he says serious.. Rates will be cut especially if Trump wins.

 

[Madrox]

Yea Marks mentioned that in his latest memo that I posted up. I think he said that he expects the new norm to hover between 3-4% on average..

I haven't been investing long enough you really know many other rate environments, but the seasoned heads say that the long period of near zero rates that we had during the bull run that followed GFC have never been the norm during their lifetimes.


(added here, from the letter)

I don’t have an opinion as to whether the consensus described above is correct. However, even granting that it is, I’ll still stick with my guess that rates will be around 2-4%, not 0-2%, over the next few years. Do you want more specificity? My guess – and that’s all it is – is that the fed funds rate will average between 3.0% and 3.5% over the next 5-10 years. If you think I’m wrong, ask yourself whether you’d put your money on a different half-point range. (Before readers protest my uncharacteristic descent into forecasting, I’ll point out that, at Oaktree, we say it’s okay to have opinions on the macro; it’s just not okay to bet clients’ money on them. We invest with an awareness of current macro conditions, but our investment decisions are always based on bottom-up analysis of companies and securities, not macro forecasts.)

* * *​

The upshot of my sea change thesis is simple:

1. The period from 1980 through 2021 was generally one of declining and/or ultra-low interest rates.
2. This had profound ramifications in many areas, including determining which investment strategies would be the winners and losers.
3. That changed in 2022, when the Fed was forced to begin raising interest rates to combat inflation.
4. We’re unlikely to go back to such easy money conditions, other than temporarily in response to recessions.
5. Therefore, the investment environment in the coming years will feature higher interest rates than those we saw in 2009-21. Different strategies will outperform in the period ahead, and thus a different asset allocation is called for.

Bullet points one through three above are statements of fact and not controvertible. Consequently, the conclusion – number five – depends exclusively on whether number four is correct. The question is simple: do you agree with it or don’t you? If you agree, we have a host of solutions to propose.



January 9, 2024

 

[Madrox]

Dude loves throwing out names of execs he knows because no one will take what he says serious.. Rates will be cut especially if Trump wins.

I hear you. I can see that happening if Trump wins like you said.

I don't mind TR. Never really had much opinion of him, but warmed up a bit after reading Unshakeable, which I appreciated. I'ma check his new book out.

 

[Flawless]

I hear you. I can see that happening if Trump wins like you said.

I don't mind TR. Never really had much opinion of him, but warmed up a bit after reading Unshakeable, which I appreciated. I'ma check he new book out.

Yeah I have read couple of his books I guess I just have fatigue of hearing all these guys talk about walking up early and taking could plunges yet their lives are just as much of a train wreck as everyone else.

 

[Madrox]

Yeah I have read couple of his books I guess I just have fatigue of hearing all these guys talk about walking up early and taking could plunges yet their lives are just as much of a train wreck as everyone else.

Word I know what you mean. His new book is coming out tomorrow so it's probably just all part of the script.

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[Aww Skeet Skeet!]

The Bogle-heads method. I run a version of this in my index/etf fund only brokerage account.

One thing that I hear is to use a total market index fund rather than a S&P500 index for diversification (so VTI instead of VOO). It's money that I won't need (hopefully) in 10-15 years.

 

[DC_Dude]

The Bogle-heads method. I run a version of this in my index/etf fund only brokerage account.

One thing that I hear is to use a total market index fund rather than a S&P500 index for diversification (so VTI instead of VOO). It's money that I won't need (hopefully) in 10-15 years.

Yup....

 

[Flawless]

The Bogle-heads method. I run a version of this in my index/etf fund only brokerage account.

One thing that I hear is to use a total market index fund rather than a S&P500 index for diversification (so VTI instead of VOO). It's money that I won't need (hopefully) in 10-15 years.

I don't think it matters, one year vti might have a couple percent higher then next year voo, cant go wrong with either.

 

[Aww Skeet Skeet!]

$SMCI.... What could've been.

One month chart +196%. I don't hold much but I don't plan to hold long either unless $NVDA ER rockets.

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[havelcok]

$SMCI.... What could've been.

One month chart +196%. I don't hold much but I don't plan to hold long either unless $NVDA ER rockets.

 

[Madrox]

00:00 Introduction
01:45 Warren Buffett
08:26 Bill Ackman
12:43 Chuck Akre
17:30 Dev Kantesaria
22:50 Chris Hohn
26:19 Carl Icahn
27:42 Bill Gates
28:56 Christopher Bloomstran
30:22 Michael Burry

 

[Madrox]

Smart Money Is Making Shocking Moves In The Market Now

Hello everyone, I am Daniel Pronk and in today's video I discuss Warren Buffett selling Apple AAPL shares, and buying more Occidental Petroleum OXY. I also discuss Michael Burry, Howard Marks, and David Tepper's portfolio moves. These super investors are buying more BABA and JD stock, which is interesting.

00:00 - Intro
00:20 - Warren Buffett Sells Apple
04:40 - Buffett Continues Buying OXY
07:22 - Michael Burry Buying BABA & JD
08:27 - David Tepper Buying BABA
09:07 - Canada Pension Plan Buying BABA
09:38 - Howard Marks Buying BABA & JD
12:10 - Why Smart Money Is Buying Chinese Stocks
16:23 - Top Stocks Smart Money Is Selling
17:23 - Top Sectors Smart Money Is Buying

 

[Madrox]

Feb 16, 2024

Michael Burry (from The Big Short) is back and he's just revealed his latest 13F filing (and thus stock portfolio picks) for 2024. From betting on the fall of the U.S. housing market in 2008, to now buying Chinese tech stocks JD.com and Alibaba, Michael Burry is not one to lay still for too long.


★ ★ CONTENTS ★ ★
0:00 Michael Burry is Back.
1:00 Burry's Controversial Bet on China
4:55 Burry Buys Into the Magnificent 7?
7:05 Burry's Call on the Semiconductors (Nvidia)
8:30 The Catch With Michael Burry's Portfolio

 

[Aww Skeet Skeet!]

January wholesale prices rise more than expected, another sign of persistent inflation

The producer price index was expected to increase 0.1% in January, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.

www.cnbc.com

 

[Non-StopJFK2TAB]

Dude had one hot pick 15 years ago.

 

[Madrox]

 

[DC_Dude]

Light street heavy semi

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[Non-StopJFK2TAB]

What a world we live in. About $10 trillion in market capitalization, but they’ve probably paid $300 in taxes.

Watching for paint chips, don’t want no lead in your child. But those gangtas put lead in your child. The bezy be out.

 

[Madrox]

From yesterday

AI bets: Nvidia reports stakes in Arm Holdings, SoundHound and others

Nvidia (NVDA), the AI chip-making powerhouse, has disclosed investments in U.K. chip designer Arm Holdings (ARM), voice AI recognition company SoundHound AI (SO

seekingalpha.com

AI bets: Nvidia reports stakes in Arm Holdings, SoundHound and others​

Feb. 15, 2024 4:02 AM ETNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) StockSFTBY, NNOX, SOUN, RXRX, TSPH, ARMBy: Jessica Kuruthukulangara, SA News Editor29 Comments

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), the AI chip-making powerhouse, has disclosed investments in U.K. chip designer Arm Holdings (ARM), voice AI recognition firm SoundHound AI (SOUN), and Chinese self-driving truckmaker TuSimple (TSPH).

The chip giant also disclosed stakes in biotech company Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) and medical imaging developer Nano-X Imaging (NNOX) as of the end of 2023, its 13F filing showed.

The Arm (ARM) stake was the biggest, totaling $147.3M. Recall that Nvidia (NVDA) had tried to buy Arm for $40B back in 2020, but regulatory pressure forced it to scrap the deal in 2022.

Arm's (ARM) stock has more than doubled in value since its market debut last September, which was 2023's biggest IPO.

Nvidia's (NVDA) disclosure of a $3.7M stake in SoundHound (SOUN) and SoftBank's (OTCPK:SFTBY) new stake in the firm sent its shares surging 45.9% after the bell on Wednesday.

Nvidia's (NVDA) holdings in Recursion (RXRX) amounted to around $76M, while it disclosed smaller stakes in TuSimple (TSPH) at a little over $3M and Nano-X (NNOX) at $379.9K. NNOX shares soared 82.1% after hours.

Note that TuSimple (TSPH) is in the process of winding down its U.S. operations and recently delisted its stock from Nasdaq.

Stock moves over the past year: Recursion (RXRX) +31.1%, Nano-X (NNOX) -19.3%, SoundHound (SOUN) -40.2%, TuSimple (TSPH) -84.2%.

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[Madrox]

Wayminnit, that math ain't mathin re: the fine

 

[DC_Dude]

Wayminnit, that math ain't mathin re: the fine

Right

 

[Aww Skeet Skeet!]

Watching for paint chips, don’t want no lead in your child. But those gangtas put lead in your child. The bezy be out.

 

[Non-StopJFK2TAB]

Wayminnit, that math ain't mathin re: the fine

Yes it does. If I were to steal a peanut chew, they would give me life in prison with eligibility for parole after 300 years.

 

[Efkie]

he forgot Druckenmiller

 

[Efkie]

 

[Aww Skeet Skeet!]

Don't chase. But I don't day/swing trade. If $NVDA has good news, it'll bounce. May not help this guy though.

 

[HellBoy]

ADRAS-J stands for "Active Debris Removal by Astroscale-Japan."

$RKLB

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[DC_Dude]

Biden admin providing $1.5 billion to GlobalFoundries to make computer chips in New York and Vermont

The Biden administration says that the government would provide $1.5 billion to the computer chip company GlobalFoundries to expand its domestic production in New York and Vermont.

apnews.com