BREAKING: INVASION HAS BEGUN..... Putin's "3-day war"... NOW... 1 YEAR 338 DAYS ...WAGNER HEAD SAYS GROUP STANDING DOWN AFTER CLAIMS OF DEAL

darth frosty

Dark Lord of the Sith
BGOL Investor



"Russia will be in a panic, the war will be won": the Ministry of Defense announced the large-scale consequences of the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces

"The success of Ukraine in its long-awaited counter-offensive against Russia could mean the complete collapse of the Russian Armed Forces or even the Russian economy. This will happen very soon. The offensive will reveal the truth about the tightly controlled Russian propaganda for military action and lead to a retribution among ordinary Russians. We will launch our counter-offensive and , when that happens Russia will be panicked. You will see a lot of panic. They still don't understand that their propaganda is showing a false picture of what is really happening on the ground. This war will be won on the ground, not on TV screens, not on the internet ", says Deputy Minister of Defense Volodymyr Gavrylov.

More news on the website

By: Ulyana Vynogradova

Deputy Minister of Defense Volodymyr Gavrylov stated this, The Independent reports .
independent.co.uk/news/world/eur…

He deliberately did not reveal the timing of the counteroffensive, which is expected in the near future, when the spring rains will be replaced by more favorable weather conditions

"The success of Ukraine in its long-awaited counter-offensive against Russia could mean the complete collapse of the Russian Armed Forces or even the Russian economy. This will happen very soon. The offensive will reveal the truth about the tightly controlled Russian propaganda for military action and lead to a retribution among ordinary Russians.
We will launch our counter-offensive and , when that happens Russia will be panicked. You will see a lot of panic. They still don't understand that their propaganda is showing a false picture of what is really happening on the ground. This war will be won on the ground, not on TV screens, not on the internet ", Gavrilov said.

According to him, Russia lost 200,000 people during the war in Ukraine, but the Kremlin hid the true scale of Russian losses from its people. And when Ukraine begins to regain territory, and these losses will increase even more.

"You can't deceive your people for many years... especially if they start to see the difference on the ground, they start to see the killed and wounded, they see the families who lost their men. You can't hide the death of your son, your husband or your brother. Moscow will suffer from the consequences of this," Gavrilov added.

He noted that holding the malt-mining town of Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast played a key role in preparing Ukraine for a counteroffensive, allowing defense forces to dictate terms on the front line and depleting Russia's main military resources.

"The situation there has left the morale among Russian officers at a very low level. By keeping the bridgehead at the Bakhmut fortress, Ukraine has demonstrated the fact that the Russian military machine is not of the quality we saw a year ago when Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine and brought tanks into the first wave. This means that they will inevitably end in disaster sooner or later," said the deputy minister.
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According to him, Bakhmut demonstrated not only to Ukraine, but also to the enemy that there is no military solution for Russia in this war. Ukraine's Western allies and commercial arms companies were reluctant to supply the country in the early stages of the war without a full upfront payment, believing that Ukraine would not last long enough to make the payments.

"We have demonstrated to others our courage, that we are reliable, serious and ready to defend our country by all means. We need something more sophisticated than ground-based air defense, capable of long-range strikes, to shoot down Russian aircraft at a distance of more than 100 km - simply to protect our people.

That is why we are asking our partners to provide modern fighter jets such as F16 or similar and we insist that they be sent to us as soon as possible, because it is about saving the lives of civilians. for technological advantage and advantage," Gavrilov added

He suggested that 2023 could be the year of Victory.

As reported by OBOZREVATEL, on May 6 , Zaluzhny held a conversation with the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the United States, Mark Milley. Ukrainian and American generals discussed the situation at the front and the progress of preparations for the de-occupation of Ukrainian territory.

war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/nasha-meta…
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#SlavaUkraïni
#UkraineWillWin
 

darth frosty

Dark Lord of the Sith
BGOL Investor
"You lost another battalion Vladimir?"


FvkI8jpaAAA8cKr
 

zod16

Rising Star
Registered
They really did have their biggest parade (Victory Day) today with a single T-34 :smh: :lol:











This is how it looked pre invasion in 2019


:smh:
 

zod16

Rising Star
Registered


Welp if this is true then that's some critical field data to build off of moving forward.

:yes:

The Kinzal is essentially an air launched Iskander and is "hypersonic" in the same sense that ICBMS are but not in the way the russians tried to hype it. Look at the air defense results over the last few days over Kyiv and you can see that the Patriots and other systems are working well. Ukrainians denied shooting it down initially probably for the exact reason you mentioned.
 

darth frosty

Dark Lord of the Sith
BGOL Investor






We’re seeing another round of media items about whether the US and some European states want to push Zelensky to make concessions, above all on Crimea. A



Anxiety among some Western policymakers about Ukraine doing too well and retaking Crimea seems, in my experience, to be focused on 2 things: fear that Russia will use nuclear weapons and fear of Russian collapse (which I may do a thread on tomorrow if I have time).



Both are reasonable and necessary fears - l'd doubt the competence of any politician or advisor who wasn't worried about them. But that doesn’t mean that either are the most likely consequences of supporting Ukraine re. Crimea.



There’s been anxiety about Russian nuclear use since the start of the war, as Putin/TV pundits respond to every additional Russian failure by ramping up threats. The most high-profile threats relate to strategic nuclear weapons; policymaker anxiety is often about tactical ones.



We need to be very careful in how we approach this issue, obviously, because the stakes are so high and the risk of getting it wrong so terrible. We also need to be mindful of the fact that we can see nothing of what’s happening behind the scenes.



But what we can say is that so far, despite the threats and despite the crossing some of what we thought might be Russia’s red lines, Putin has not used nuclear weapons.



Is Crimea different from other occupied territory liberated by Ukraine? Yes, for all sorts of reasons: it’s always been seen as strategically vital by Russia; it’s been integrated into Russia since 2014; and its annexation has been closely tied to Putin’s presidency and his image

But is Crimea important enough to risk the response of NATO or to risk alienating China – the partner on which Russia is now so dependent? What would be left of the Russian armed forces and the Russian economy if both their enemies and their key partner react strongly?



And retaking Crimea wouldn’t happen in a diplomatic vacuum. It’s not hard to imagine the US and EU holding out carrots as well as sticks that could help the Russian govt to accept the loss of Crimea.



There are 2 very important reasons why it’s strongly in the national interest of the US as well as all other NATO states not to give in to nuclear blackmail and push Ukraine into backing down on Crimea.



One reason is that the radically changed European security environment and the catastrophic state of relations with Russia mean a continuing Russian occupation of Crimea would be an ongoing and serious threat to NATO in the Black Sea.



As I’ve said before, a major, under-recognised permissive cause of Russia’s invasion was the 1997 treaty allowing Russia to take most of the Black Sea Fleet and to keep it in Crimea. That made the 2014 annexation desirable and possible, and it also made the 2022 invasion possible



Russia has de facto control over something like a third of Georgia’s coastline (in Abkhazia). With that and Crimea it has been able to project its presence in the Black Sea far more than it could have done if it had stayed inside its borders.



Russia now has a hostile and seemingly paranoid leadership that appears to have staked everything on selling the idea of an existential conflict with the West.



A hostile Russian naval presence in Crimea is a risk for NATO Black Sea states. That means as long as Russia is in Crimea, Crimea is now going to be a major problem for the security of NATO as a whole.



The 2nd reason is that, as many others have pointed out, when a leadership that sees everything in zero sum, I win-you lose terms uses nuclear blackmail, giving in to them makes it very likely they’ll do the same again and again.



Deterrence only provides security if it’s mutual, not if it only works one way.



Should we take Putin’s nuclear threats re. Crimea seriously? Yes. Should we take equally seriously the threat (including the risk of nuclear use) posed by giving him strong incentives to push NATO’s boundaries? Yes, I think so.



The problem here is that there's no safe policy option for the US or the rest of NATO.



Policymakers want options that solve problems, that mean they can ignore things they don’t want to worry about (particularly before elections), that allow them to return to business as usual.



But – partly as a result of those impulses being acted on in the past – the security situation is now so bad that there is no safe option to hit the snooze button and worry about it all some other time. There is no option, I think, without nuclear risk.



I’ve been observing and writing about Russian foreign and security policy towards its neighbours and the US for many years now. Nothing in that experience makes me think pushing Ukraine to abandon Crimea would be a safe option for the US, or France, or Germany.



Decisionmakers have a responsibility to understand that, and to help their countries’ citizens to understand it, or we will all be living in a significantly more dangerous world than we are now.
 

zod16

Rising Star
Registered






We’re seeing another round of media items about whether the US and some European states want to push Zelensky to make concessions, above all on Crimea. A



Anxiety among some Western policymakers about Ukraine doing too well and retaking Crimea seems, in my experience, to be focused on 2 things: fear that Russia will use nuclear weapons and fear of Russian collapse (which I may do a thread on tomorrow if I have time).



Both are reasonable and necessary fears - l'd doubt the competence of any politician or advisor who wasn't worried about them. But that doesn’t mean that either are the most likely consequences of supporting Ukraine re. Crimea.



There’s been anxiety about Russian nuclear use since the start of the war, as Putin/TV pundits respond to every additional Russian failure by ramping up threats. The most high-profile threats relate to strategic nuclear weapons; policymaker anxiety is often about tactical ones.



We need to be very careful in how we approach this issue, obviously, because the stakes are so high and the risk of getting it wrong so terrible. We also need to be mindful of the fact that we can see nothing of what’s happening behind the scenes.



But what we can say is that so far, despite the threats and despite the crossing some of what we thought might be Russia’s red lines, Putin has not used nuclear weapons.



Is Crimea different from other occupied territory liberated by Ukraine? Yes, for all sorts of reasons: it’s always been seen as strategically vital by Russia; it’s been integrated into Russia since 2014; and its annexation has been closely tied to Putin’s presidency and his image

But is Crimea important enough to risk the response of NATO or to risk alienating China – the partner on which Russia is now so dependent? What would be left of the Russian armed forces and the Russian economy if both their enemies and their key partner react strongly?



And retaking Crimea wouldn’t happen in a diplomatic vacuum. It’s not hard to imagine the US and EU holding out carrots as well as sticks that could help the Russian govt to accept the loss of Crimea.



There are 2 very important reasons why it’s strongly in the national interest of the US as well as all other NATO states not to give in to nuclear blackmail and push Ukraine into backing down on Crimea.



One reason is that the radically changed European security environment and the catastrophic state of relations with Russia mean a continuing Russian occupation of Crimea would be an ongoing and serious threat to NATO in the Black Sea.



As I’ve said before, a major, under-recognised permissive cause of Russia’s invasion was the 1997 treaty allowing Russia to take most of the Black Sea Fleet and to keep it in Crimea. That made the 2014 annexation desirable and possible, and it also made the 2022 invasion possible



Russia has de facto control over something like a third of Georgia’s coastline (in Abkhazia). With that and Crimea it has been able to project its presence in the Black Sea far more than it could have done if it had stayed inside its borders.



Russia now has a hostile and seemingly paranoid leadership that appears to have staked everything on selling the idea of an existential conflict with the West.



A hostile Russian naval presence in Crimea is a risk for NATO Black Sea states. That means as long as Russia is in Crimea, Crimea is now going to be a major problem for the security of NATO as a whole.



The 2nd reason is that, as many others have pointed out, when a leadership that sees everything in zero sum, I win-you lose terms uses nuclear blackmail, giving in to them makes it very likely they’ll do the same again and again.



Deterrence only provides security if it’s mutual, not if it only works one way.



Should we take Putin’s nuclear threats re. Crimea seriously? Yes. Should we take equally seriously the threat (including the risk of nuclear use) posed by giving him strong incentives to push NATO’s boundaries? Yes, I think so.



The problem here is that there's no safe policy option for the US or the rest of NATO.



Policymakers want options that solve problems, that mean they can ignore things they don’t want to worry about (particularly before elections), that allow them to return to business as usual.



But – partly as a result of those impulses being acted on in the past – the security situation is now so bad that there is no safe option to hit the snooze button and worry about it all some other time. There is no option, I think, without nuclear risk.



I’ve been observing and writing about Russian foreign and security policy towards its neighbours and the US for many years now. Nothing in that experience makes me think pushing Ukraine to abandon Crimea would be a safe option for the US, or France, or Germany.



Decisionmakers have a responsibility to understand that, and to help their countries’ citizens to understand it, or we will all be living in a significantly more dangerous world than we are now.


Good post. It is expected to see the russian nuclear threat not only repeated by their propagandists and their amplifiers but wild to see even some brothers on here regurgitate it. Almost as wild as seeing people defend Wagner/RU etc. given what they have done very recently/currently in Africa as well as in the US with Black Hammer etc. :smh:
 

lightbright

Master Pussy Poster
BGOL Investor
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Guerilla Arsonists Just Set Fire to Russia's Supersonic Bomber


Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine has been tough on Russia’s inventory ground attack aircraft, with photos confirming at least 60 of its Sukhoi bombers and attack jets destroyed or heavily damaged by early May 2020. And a recent incident suggests even those deployed thousands of miles away from Ukraine may still be in the line of fire.

On May 8, just prior to Russia’s Victory Day holiday, saboteurs filmed themselves setting fire to one Su-24 supersonic bomber parked near some woods by the Sukhoi aircraft factory at Novosibirsk—located 1,800 miles east of Ukraine in Siberia. The Novosibirsk Aircraft Production Association Plant there is engaged in producing the Su-24’s successor, the Su-34 Fullback bomber.



This video was posted on the social media account of the Freedom of Russia Legion, officially a unit in in Ukraine’s Territorial Defense Force composed of Russian volunteers and defectors who view themselves as opponents of Putin’s regime. The account described the saboteurs as “unknown partisans” and “guerillas.”

They allege that this Su-24 was set to undergo upgrades and refurbishing, presumably for potential combat use. At least two other bombers (seemingly Su-34s) can be briefly glimpsed parked next to the Su-24.

The social media post claims the Su-24 was “successfully burned down,” although that can’t be verified from the video itself.

Subsequently, the Baza news account on Telegram reported that, in reaction to the video, a local policeman located the “mothballed” Su-24. It was described as“...not particularly damaged, but the chassis clearly showed traces of flammable liquid burning.” The report states the saboteurs cut through a chain link fence and were recorded on security cameras.

It’s possible this aircraft was one of a few Su-24MKs (a downgraded export model) that have been seen in satellite photos parked at the factory for over a decade awaiting a buyer.


 

zod16

Rising Star
Registered
Prigozhin is wild right now. :smh: :lol:

Posts poll showing him right behind Putin



Continues to give wild quotes that are against the official narrative including refuting the recent claim that the counteroffensive is delayed which is being currently amplified by russian disinformation :smh:











I think he knows what is coming and is just saying fuck it...

Fk7EwdiXoAAYkah.jpg
 

lightbright

Master Pussy Poster
BGOL Investor

Fleeing Russian troops are ‘hit by their own guided missile' in fatal error

THIS is the moment fleeing Russian troops were “hit by their own Kornet man-portable anti-tank guided missile”. Battlefield video evidently films the strike by Ukrainians using a deadly weapon left by Vladimir Putin deserting soldiers. A smoke trail is seen as the missile is fired at the escaping troops - and then a giant explosion which appears to take out all but three of them. Recent days have seen reports of Russians ceding hard-won ground in fiercely contested Bakhmut. However, the exact location of this incident is not immediately clear. Pro-Kremlin Ukrainian blogger and politician Anatoly Shariy posted the footage to his one million plus Telegram subscribers, declaring: “This is what happens when the Russian army runs away, leaving Kornets behind.” Voices on the footage are heard saying there was “a huge crowd” of Russians fleeing over an open field. A dozen or so men are seen running back towards Russian lines.

 
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