Joe Biden is now POTUS
- Thread starter Spectrum
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No data on Trump supporters, but I have a neighbor who is hardcore Trump supporter and told me he did not vote in 2016 cuz of it. He planning on doing it this year, if their is one there has to be more.
Here are videos from 2016 leading up to the election.
Polls: Clinton leads Trump
June 2016
Clinton leads Trump in post convention poll
Aug 2016
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CNN poll of polls: Clinton has double digit lead
Aug 2016
Clinton Leads Trump by 12 in New Poll
Oct 2016
CBS News poll: Clinton leads Trump in key states ahead of second debate
Oct 2016
Hillary Clinton Leads Trump By Double Digits After Donald Trump's Vulgar Comments
Oct 2016
Clinton leads Trump in final NBC poll
Nov 2016
Interesting data. Intuitively I don't see Biden/Harris getting the white female vote. I don't see white females voting for a back woman to be the first VP. Even liberal/democratic white women.
The media does love him because he is ratings gold. If you watch CNN or MSNBC they talk about Trump 90+ percent of the time. One minute Biden is leading by double digits and the next minute they saying the race is close. Republicans got demolished in the Midterms and shit has gotten worse since then, can Trump win? Yes! But it's going to be hard for him, Biden ain't Hillary.
It's an interesting thing. Because we have 10s of millions of people that don't vote and you always wonder what it will take. That goes both ways though. Because of Trump, there are people on the other side who are engaged more than ever... like in 2018... but there isn't much data on it and probably can't get much on it anyway beyond pollers asking people the appropriate questions regarding their voting history
They seem to already have it because he's crushing Trump in white suburban women.
Yep. And the people who report on TV make good money. They aren't feeling any of the suffering that average Americans feel so in the end, they're just doing what's good for THEIR job and industry.... beyond even politics.
It’s hard to say how the demographics are gonna be for this turnout.
Nobody expected White Women to heavily support Trump in 2016. The theory is they expected him to wise up after inauguration.
He proved them wrong.
And Trump has fizzled our on all the promises he gave mofos who supported him like Farmers and Steelworkers with all his fucked up trade tariffs. It’s up in the air if they gonna vote for him.
We have to wait and see, but in the meantime, Biden will need a turnout like Obama did in 2008 to make it a secure landslide.
Nobody expected White Women to heavily support Trump in 2016. The theory is they expected him to wise up after inauguration.
He proved them wrong.
And Trump has fizzled our on all the promises he gave mofos who supported him like Farmers and Steelworkers with all his fucked up trade tariffs. It’s up in the air if they gonna vote for him.
We have to wait and see, but in the meantime, Biden will need a turnout like Obama did in 2008 to make it a secure landslide.
I personally am going to stay away from saying things like "the Trump can't win" or "Biden will win in a landslide" because we simply can't afford to get complacent. We all need to vote.
Maybe Biden will win in a landslide - if so, great! But until the election we all need to make it clear every single vote counts, because I don't want to influence a single person into thinking they can afford to stay home in November. We all need to get out and vote, or we'll regret it for the next four years. RBG is 87 years old and has cancer!.
Maybe Biden will win in a landslide - if so, great! But until the election we all need to make it clear every single vote counts, because I don't want to influence a single person into thinking they can afford to stay home in November. We all need to get out and vote, or we'll regret it for the next four years. RBG is 87 years old and has cancer!.
Never underestimate dumbass cacs. They will determine the outcome and the next day you will hear that black folks didnt show up. Sick of this shit.
No doubt. What I'm saying is that Biden is ahead, substantially, right now. The race will tighten.
Oops, damn, I almost fell.
Note to readers: The "black swan" event OP uses as an excuse for being LOUD WRONG was in October. OP's arrogant "a circus to keep you watching" bullshit was spouted on NOVEMBER 5TH.
If you spent the entire 4th quarter dismissing any talk that the Patriots could come back, you're the last person who should incessantly insist that the possibility of a similar comeback in the next Superbowl is a mere conspiracy to keep viewers from turning away.
Even if the argument had merit, you are not the best messenger, Kyrie.
Yet for some reason, you repeat the same "horse race" bullshit, with nothing to be gained but a little e-cred and a lesser likelihood that anyone foolish enough to listen to you actually votes.
It is funny how Trump won an election by cheating and ppl now dispel data as if data no longer means anything.
Trump got the whole country shook.
Even with all the fuckery that was going on Trump himself didn't even expect to win.
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GO VOTE. VOTE EARLY. HELP YOUR FAMILY AND FRIENDS VOTE.
No doubt
Yeah but the 59% disapproval could be because Trump showcased so many black folks and immigrants. They might still support him.
Someone remarked that the poll that asked if 180,000 was an acceptable death rate probably is more indicative of his actual approval numbers since so many are ashamed to admit they support him.
Polling data lags up to 7 days or more. Comey made the announcement on October 28th. Get the stick out of your ass. The exit polling data showed that Comey's hand on the scale was a huge factor with undecided voters. Had it happened a week earlier, the public polling data would have caught it and people watching the data could have adjusted their estimates.
Do you even know what a black swan event is? That was barely even an October surprise. That was a November surprise. Nothing like that had ever happened before. Without that event, Trump loses. That's one of the greatest black swan events in political history. Perfect timing to cause maximum damage considering the # of undecided voters and not enough time for it to be cleaned up before the actual vote.
You're too smart to be this stupid.
You gotta get over Bernie losing man. It's over. Time to move on. Shit is pathetic. Let it go.
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Yeah. That question about the deaths is telling. It's a literal confirmation of Trump's claim he could shoot someone and not lose voters.
My biggest question is regarding independent voters and whether there will be any uptick with Urban voters. If Trump gets the same number of voters as 2016 and dems get 2018 numbers, he's toast.
This is eerily similar to 2016. I dont trust it, everyone better vote we have very short memories
www.politico.com
How did everyone get it so wrong?
Polls and predictive models failed to predict Trump’s strength.
www.politico.com
Republicans have been winning the white women's vote since atleast Reagan. Trump won 52% of the white women's vote, which is trending down from Romeny's 56%.
Considering that he struggles to hold things with this right hand, he drags his right leg, and he leans on that podium favoring his right side, it's not only possible but probable that he had a stroke.
This is eerily similar to 2016. I dont trust it, everyone better vote we have very short memories
How did everyone get it so wrong?
Polls and predictive models failed to predict Trump’s strength.
Current polling is using weight taking his 2016 demographic strengths into consideration. Considering there aren't as many undecided voters, this year should be even better than last year. National polling data was within 2%. Swing state was within 4%. Remember he won those 3 swing states in the midwest by collectively 80,000 votes. For all the talk about the 2016 polling, it was relatively on point and had only a slightly wider (1%) margin of error than other polls. It's just that this 1% was a big deal in an election decided by 80,000 votes over 3 states in the EC.
This is eerily similar to 2016. I dont trust it, everyone better vote we have very short memories
How did everyone get it so wrong?
Polls and predictive models failed to predict Trump’s strength.
That’s the point of those Hillary vids I posted earlier.
Don’t go trusting these polls!
VOTE!!!
RNC heads should explode after this
I've moved on. #AOC2024. You can't boil everything down to Bernie, that's just weak. I've emphasized my Biden support many times since March.
If the Comey announcement was so massive and your insight is to be trusted, shouldn't you have been warning of the effect Comey might have in 2016 instead of claiming the media was unjustifiably hyping the election? Knowing it wouldn't yet be reflected in the polls?
You're the boy who cried no wolf, standing at the very spot Little Red Riding Hood got devoured, demanding that we listen to you about how harmless wolves are.
