Joe Biden is now POTUS

[sharkbait28]

@sharkbait28 when he loses, he's going to launch Trump TV before the end of the year. The hilarious shit is that FOX NEWS is going to be his biggest post-election victim and he goes after their viewers (overlap) and then blames them for not being sufficiently loyal. He can't get viewers from MSNBC or CNN etc... it's the FOX crowd.... plus, it's the quickest source for him to rebuild to start paying off his debt. It's gonna be hilarious to see the Trump vs Fox News battle after they've fluffed him over the last 4 years. No one thinks he'll turn on them when Trump turns on everyone at some point.

Lmaaaooo, I could def see that! Wasn’t he talking about this when he was running?

Realistically this dude is going to have a show on RT TV tho lol. Broadcasting from St Petersburg and shit.

 

[Spectrum]

Lmaaaooo, I could def see that! Wasn’t he talking about this when he was running?

Realistically this dude is going to have a show on RT TV tho lol. Broadcasting from St Petersburg and shit.

That was his original plan in the first place. He just got "unlucky" and won. Word is already spreading that Kushner is working on deals for their new media project.

"Live from St. Petersburg" lmbaoooooooooooo

 

[Spectrum]

Joe Biden builds solid 19% advantage in Florida with early voting, 58% to 39%, per St. Pete Poll.

Poll: Joe Biden builds 19-point lead over Donald Trump among Florida’s early voters Among Florida voters who already cast their ballots, 58% voted for � Joe Biden � while just 39% picked � ...

www.dailykos.com

The key conclusion from the data:

That makes it all the more significant Biden holds a lead both among the already committed and those who still plan to vote before Nov. 3.

 

[Quek9]

Muthafucka won't even show his fucking taxes! He's been running the "audit" con for 5 years now even after we're discovering this month that he doesn't pay taxes and he has secret bank accounts in China that are getting 10s of millions in deposits and withdrawals while he is POTUS but having no verifiable business to make that kind of money!

I'm telling you... he could eat a baby during a live debate and they'd say "it was an illegal alien so he's just working on the immigration problem" or they'll say "he's just showing how cruel abortion is".... there is nothing he can do that those mouth-breathers won't justify.

He is only fooling stupid cacs that want to believe...

 

[BKF]

Was it low turnout in 2016?

Yes...a 20 year low.

 

[BKF]

It is all popular vote polls. Electoral decides presidents. I am sure some source could extrapolate an electoral prediction of all the votes that have been reported by now but they never do.

I’m counting on the repubs being wrong about a red wave come election Day.

What part don't you understand? The popular vote matters in each state.
You don't win states by the electoral college. You win them by the popular vote. You win the presidency by the electoral college.

 

[zod16]

Muthafucka won't even show his fucking taxes! He's been running the "audit" con for 5 years now even after we're discovering this month that he doesn't pay taxes and he has secret bank accounts in China that are getting 10s of millions in deposits and withdrawals while he is POTUS but having no verifiable business to make that kind of money!

I'm telling you... he could eat a baby during a live debate and they'd say "it was an illegal alien so he's just working on the immigration problem" or they'll say "he's just showing how cruel abortion is".... there is nothing he can do that those mouth-breathers won't justify.

The crazy part is that he literally is alive because of a drug developed and tested using the same "stem cell research" these idiot cacs praised him for banning. There was an article a few days back that had the leaders of the anti-abortion groups explaining that him being treated with something derived from the very thing they worked hard to ban wasn't contradictory.

 

[UNIVERSITY]

You can't read or you don't understand how this works. State polls are electoral college based polling. Youre literally polling ONE state.

No need for insults homie!! Of course I know how to read and I am definitely no expert at how this works. I just watched in 2016 how chump won all those little suburbs, counties and rural areas. All the experts chins were rubbing the concrete.

We all see what happens on Nov. 3rd. I hope he loses.

 

[BigDaddyBuk]

Lmao this guy is the worst and most transparent conman of all fucking time and these slack jawed yokels are STILL getting finessed.

Can you call it finesse when the guy doing it has no finesse?

What do you call it when it's a clumsy, goofy, obviously bad, blatantly stupid motherfucker trying to fool you?

 

[UNIVERSITY]

What part don't you understand? The popular vote matters in each state.
You don't win states by the electoral college. You win them by the popular vote. You win the presidency by the electoral college.

I get it. In all but two states if someone wins the majority of popular votes they win all the electoral votes in that state.

We see on Nov. 3rd.

 

[HeathCliff]

Joe Biden builds solid 19% advantage in Florida with early voting, 58% to 39%, per St. Pete Poll.

Poll: Joe Biden builds 19-point lead over Donald Trump among Florida’s early voters Among Florida voters who already cast their ballots, 58% voted for � Joe Biden � while just 39% picked � ...

www.dailykos.com

The key conclusion from the data:

That makes it all the more significant Biden holds a lead both among the already committed and those who still plan to vote before Nov. 3.

 

[HeathCliff]

Y’all I think what @UNIVERSITY is speaking about is the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact where states give their EC vote to whomever wins the national popular no matter who wins the popular vote in their state.

Many states have complied but they are 74 electoral college votes from being implemented.

 

[Spectrum]

No need for insults homie!!

I wasn't name-calling. I was being serious in that either you don't know how the electoral process works or you aren't extrapolating the info being presented. There is no such thing as "popular vote" applied to state polling data. If you are getting state-based polls, you're getting polling for the electoral college. A majority of the data being presented here is based on state voting or state polling data. A majority of it is about battleground states. The thread is pretty much specifically about the very thing you are saying that isn't being focused on. I should have said reading comprehension and not literally being illiterate.

 

[Spectrum]

The crazy part is that he literally is alive because of a drug developed and tested using the same "stem cell research" these idiot cacs praised him for banning. There was an article a few days back that had the leaders of the anti-abortion groups explaining that him being treated with something derived from the very thing they worked hard to ban wasn't contradictory.

They were like:

 

[Spectrum]

just watched in 2016 how chump won all those little suburbs, counties and rural areas.

The biggest myth is that the polling data in 2016 was wrong. It was relatively spot on... just wasn't "precise". It never is precise. In every election, some states are off just barely outside of the margin of error. Sometimes there is a swing of 2-3 points towards the GOP and sometimes it's the opposite way for Dem.

And that doesn't even account for Comey putting his thumb on the scale with 10 days left. Given more time, the polling would have likely shown the impact of that.

Now, the polling data, reweighted with 2016 deliverables, is giving a clearer picture...and Trump is losing pretty much every meaningful category.. even bleeding white Rural voters to Biden.

The reality is that the polls are probably overweighing support for the GOP this year.

 

[Dota]

Yo, I see why the Republicans are shitting a brick in Texas. If you compare the Democratic swing percentage from the 2016 presidential race and 2018 senate race (Beto), it's fucking crazy. 2018 was the warning shot.

Houston + suburb counties
Harris county (Clinton-54% | Beto-58%)...4 point swing (1 point represents at minimum 12,000 voters for Harris county)
Fort Bend county (Clinton-51.6% | Beto-55.7%)...4.1 point swing
Montgomery county (Clinton-22.5% | Beto-27%)...4.5 point swing (solid republican county but any pell off votes help)

Dallas + suburb counties
Dallas county (Clinton-61% | Beto-66%)...5 point swing
Tarrant county (Clinton-43% | Beto-49.9%)...6.9 point swing*** Donald Trump won this county in 2016 with 52%. Ted Cruz lost it 2 years later (49.2%) ***
Collins county (Clinton-39% | Beto-46.5%)...7.5 point swing
Denton county (Clinton-37% | Beto-45.5%)...8.5 point swing

San Antonio
Bexar county (Clinton-54% | Beto-59.5%)...5.5 point swing

Austin + suburb counties
Travis county (Clinton-66.3% | Beto-74.3%)...8 point swing
Williamson county (Clinton-42% | Beto-50.8%)...8.8 point swing (flipped from Republican to Democratic county from 2016 to 2018)
Hays county (Clinton-46.3% | Beto-57.2%)...10.9 point swing (flipped from Republican to Democratic county from 2016 to 2018)

El Paso county (Clinton-69.1% | Beto-74.4%)

My Texas peeps, I need y'all to go out there and FUCK SHIT UP...

 

[UNIVERSITY]

The biggest myth is that the polling data in 2016 was wrong. It was relatively spot on... just wasn't "precise". It never is precise. In every election, some states are off just barely outside of the margin of error. Sometimes there is a swing of 2-3 points towards the GOP and sometimes it's the opposite way for Dem.

And that doesn't even account for Comey putting his thumb on the scale with 10 days left. Given more time, the polling would have likely shown the impact of that.

Now, the polling data, reweighted with 2016 deliverables, is giving a clearer picture...and Trump is losing pretty much every meaningful category.. even bleeding white Rural voters to Biden.

The reality is that the polls are probably overweighing support for the GOP this year.

True!! Thanks Spectrum!

 

[Spectrum]

Yo, I see why the Republicans are shitting a brick in Texas. If you compare the Democratic swing percentage from the 2016 presidential race and 2018 senate race (Beto), it's fucking crazy. 2018 was the warning shot.

Houston + suburb counties
Harris county (Clinton-54% | Beto-58%)...4 point swing (1 point represents at minimum 12,000 voters for Harris county)
Fort Bend county (Clinton-51.6% | Beto-55.7%)...4.1 point swing
Montgomery county (Clinton-22.5% | Beto-27%)...4.5 point swing (solid republican county but any pell off votes help)

Dallas + suburb counties
Dallas county (Clinton-61% | Beto-66%)...5 point swing
Tarrant county (Clinton-43% | Beto-49.9%)...6.9 point swing*** Donald Trump won this county in 2016 with 52%. Ted Cruz lost it 2 years later (49.2%) ***
Collins county (Clinton-39% | Beto-46.5%)...7.5 point swing
Denton county (Clinton-37% | Beto-45.5%)...8.5 point swing

San Antonio
Bexar county (Clinton-54% | Beto-59.5%)...5.5 point swing

Austin + suburb counties
Travis county (Clinton-66.3% | Beto-74.3%)...8 point swing
Williamson county (Clinton-42% | Beto-50.8%)...8.8 point swing (flipped from Republican to Democratic county from 2016 to 2018)
Hays county (Clinton-46.3% | Beto-57.2%)...10.9 point swing (flipped from Republican to Democratic county from 2016 to 2018)

El Paso county (Clinton-69.1% | Beto-74.4%)

My Texas peeps, I need y'all to go out there and FUCK SHIT UP...

Beto's run laid the groundwork. The crazy thing about Texas is that in reality, it's not a red state. West Virginia is a real red state because if everyone turns out, it's going red. Texas is red because of voter apathy + voter suppression. If a majority of eligible voters show up, it goes Blue.

 

[T_Holmes]

The reality is that the polls are probably overweighing support for the GOP this year.

Given the flak they still take for 2016, if I were them I'd be weighing that way, too. It would be especially ironic if after going on incessantly about how "inaccurate" the polling was, it was off again the other way.

Especially keeping in mind that Trump's win was a huge part of his "fake news" narrative and probably what helped finally cement that belief in so many of his followers.

 

[The Plutonian]

This is mad cool! Check second link to show all outcomes.

2020 Election Forecast

Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Click your state or any BG state to see outcome. Bounce it off of the results so far.

Edit. Damn. Click the map and see how it's going to shake out. Look at toss up. slightly, clearly, likely and very likely. Biden wins.

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

This is how I calculated:

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[Alex_J]

@sharkbait28 when he loses, he's going to launch Trump TV before the end of the year. The hilarious shit is that FOX NEWS is going to be his biggest post-election victim and he goes after their viewers (overlap) and then blames them for not being sufficiently loyal. He can't get viewers from MSNBC or CNN etc... it's the FOX crowd.... plus, it's the quickest source for him to rebuild to start paying off his debt. It's gonna be hilarious to see the Trump vs Fox News battle after they've fluffed him over the last 4 years. No one thinks he'll turn on them when Trump turns on everyone at some point.

"Before the end of the year" is a bold prediction.

It would be fitting for him to launch his new business while still in office.

 

[Spectrum]

 

[Spectrum]

"Before the end of the year" is a bold prediction.

It would be fitting for him to launch his new business while still in office.

Yep....The thing is... how could it be any other way? What gets him more attention? launching it after Biden is POTUS and after he's officially under investigation? or Using the Bully Pulpit every day he has left to garner the most attention. It would be his final grift before leaving office. I can't imagine him not taking advantage if he's actually going to launch a media company.

 

[Spectrum]

Given the flak they still take for 2016, if I were them I'd be weighing that way, too. It would be especially ironic if after going on incessantly about how "inaccurate" the polling was, it was off again the other way.

Especially keeping in mind that Trump's win was a huge part of his "fake news" narrative and probably what helped finally cement that belief in so many of his followers.

Yep. A polling company coming on in the wrong side again... underestimating Trump's support would likely do permanent damage to their polling brand. I'd imagine they are weighing more closing to 2016 results rather than 2018 results as a form of overcompensating for 2016 misses.

 

[Mt. Yukon]

Yeah, we know them CACs aregoing to show up the polls. That’s what they did in 2016.

I’m trying to look at the glass halfway full because this election is different. Just not hoping for the same outcome.

I think allot of people that voted for Trump are gonna sit it out also. His base is his base. But that edge that put him over aint gonna show up. Combined with more democratic voters I think Biden got it... Unless there's some fuckery afoot... Which is likely.

 

[darth frosty]

 

[4 Dimensional]

I think allot of people that voted for Trump are gonna sit it out also. His base is his base. But that edge that put him over aint gonna show up. Combined with more democratic voters I think Biden got it... Unless there's some fuckery afoot... Which is likely.

I’ve always said the best way to negate referee fuckery during basketball games is to shoot really well and blow the other team out.

That’s basically what’s got to happen this election. Voter turnout will have to massively favor the Dems in order to solidify a victory even with fuckery afoot.

 

[Nzinga]

Republicans claim Biden fumbled away Texas and Pennsylvania with his comments about
ending oil subsidies, is this true?

 

[rude_dog]

Most cops have no ideal what the law is. They're taught legal principles in the academy but once they get out in the street, they forget and rely on older officers who lack knowledge and have many biases. When a cop doesn't know the law, he assumes that he must take the most authoritarian action to prove his toughness.

 

[zod16]

Trump only won Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by a grand total of something like 77,000 total votes across the three states despite every inbred cac and coon coming out and a lot of democratic voters not showing up. He won Michigan by less than 11,000 votes with Johnson and Stein getting 200K+ votes.
I just don't see a path for him so I fully expect wild shit to happen in the next week.

 

[BKF]

Most cops have no ideal what the law is. They're taught legal principles in the academy but once they get out in the street, they forget and rely on older officers who lack knowledge and have many biases. When a cop doesn't know the law, he assumes that he must take the most authoritarian action to prove his toughness.

Except for the exception who are looking to further their career in law enforcement. We seen it rime and time again how cops have been embarrassed about not knowing the law that they are trying to enforce and their supervisor aren't much better a lot of times. If not for the bias and giving cops the benefit of the doubt. A lot of cases would be thrown out.

 

[rude_dog]

Except for the exception who are looking to further their career in law enforcement. We seen it rime and time again how cops have been embarrassed about not knowing the law that they are trying to enforce and their supervisor aren't much better a lot of times. If not for the bias and giving cops the benefit of the doubt. A lot of cases would be thrown out.

Cops don't get ahead because of their knowledge of the law. Most get ahead because of cronyism and nepotism.

A lot of cases get either pleaded down or thrown out before they even make it to court. Prosecutors are reluctant to take cases because of poor police work.

 

[Dota]

Beto's run laid the groundwork. The crazy thing about Texas is that in reality, it's not a red state. West Virginia is a real red state because if everyone turns out, it's going red. Texas is red because of voter apathy + voter suppression. If a majority of eligible voters show up, it goes Blue.

Dog, let's take a look at this again. You're right as hell about the turnout. With ONLY the counties I listed, there is 783,974 NEW voter gain from 2018 to now . Beto lost by 214,921 votes total. So taking Beto's percentages in those counties and applying them to Joe Biden and the percentage of eligible voters who actually voted in 2016, here's how many votes Biden would gain in each of those counties...


Houston + suburb counties
Harris county...Biden +95,000 votes vs 2016
Fort Bend county...Biden +27,500 votes vs 2016
Montgomery county...Biden +15,000 votes vs 2016

Dallas + suburb counties
Dallas county...Biden +60,800 votes vs 2016
Tarrant county...Biden +69,200 votes vs 2016
Collins county...Biden +45,600 votes vs 2016
Denton county...Biden +41,500 votes vs 2016

San Antonio
Bexar county...Biden +58,400 voters vs 2016

Austin + suburb counties
Travis county...Biden +72,000 voters vs 2016
Williamson county...Biden +31,300 voters vs 2016
Hays county...Biden +13,400 voters vs 2016

El Paso county...Biden +22,200 voters vs 2016

Those 12 counties represent a +552,300 votes for Biden vs Clinton 2016. Again, Beto only lost by 214,921 votes. It only gets worse for every percentage point increase for voting turnout in those counties. Republicans have to damn near fire bombs urban voting locations on November 3rd at this point.


Somebody PLEASE tell me where I can bet on this shit?

Hopefully this is a slow motion preview of November 3rd.

 

[Spectrum]

With ONLY the counties I listed, there is 783,974 NEW voter gain from 2018 to now .

and we're still 10 days away.. that's amazing

 

[Dota]

and we're still 10 days away.. that's amazing

...the desperation of these motherfuckers