Joe Biden is now POTUS

Dota

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Bexar (San Antonio) and Travis (Austin) counties will pass their 2016 voting totals with tomorrows numbers. If Houston and Dallas beat their 2016 voting total before election day, the levees done broke at that point.

My 10-28-2020 forecast snapshot.

Trump: 5,159,239 *
Biden: 4,969,742

Total votes: 10,128,981

Vote Diff: 189,497

With Bexar (San Antonio) and Travis (Austin) counties passing their 2016 vote totals, a leak has been created with all new votes gained helping Democrats.

giphy.gif


My 10-29-2020 forecast snapshot.

Trump: 5,334,023 *
Biden: 5,176,680

Total votes: 10,520,723

Vote Diff: 167,343

Tomorrow's numbers is when shit really gets crazy. Harris county is 40K votes away from passing their 2016 presidential vote total. They registered 57k in-person votes yesterday alone and have eight 24 hour voting locations today. It's easy to say they'll get 75k-100k votes alone today.
 
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Spectrum

Elite Poster
BGOL Investor
With Bexar (San Antonio) and Travis (Austin) counties passing their 2016 vote totals, a leak has been create with all new votes gained helping Democrats.

giphy.gif


My 10-29-2020 forecast snapshot.

Trump: 5,334,023 *
Biden: 5,176,680

Total votes: 10,520,723

Vote Diff: 167,343

Tomorrow's numbers is when shit really gets crazy. Harris county is 40K votes away from passing their 2016 presidential vote total. They registered 57k in-person votes yesterday alone and have eight 24 hour voting locations today. It's easy to say they'll get 75k-100k votes alone today.

So you think the Biden can outpace Trump on Election Day?
 

Day_Carver

Rising Star
Registered
She had low turnout with black voters and that low turnout was the difference between her winning and losing. Winning close elections is about GOTV not about convincing people who aren't going to vote for you to come out.

Why would she be spending time with Republican voters in rural America who weren't going to vote for her? Makes no sense. That's not why she lost.

The problem isn't that she didn't visit rural CAC in Michigan. The problem is that she didn't visit Michigan at all. Just getting "normal" turnout in Detroit would have won her the state.

You said Biden was "making the same mistakes as Hillary" but then acknowledged they have completely different strategies. Make your mind up.
I feel ya fam, but the real issue for Hillary qas white women. She didn't the majority of them to vote for her. Thats why she really lost. Along with them cheating her.......
 

HeathCliff

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
With Bexar (San Antonio) and Travis (Austin) counties passing their 2016 vote totals, a leak has been create with all new votes gained helping Democrats.

giphy.gif


My 10-29-2020 forecast snapshot.

Trump: 5,334,023 *
Biden: 5,176,680

Total votes: 10,520,723

Vote Diff: 167,343

Tomorrow's numbers is when shit really gets crazy. Harris county is 40K votes away from passing their 2016 presidential vote total. They registered 57k in-person votes yesterday alone and have eight 24 hour voting locations today. It's easy to say they'll get 75k-100k votes alone today.
I don't know if what you say is true or how it will play out, but I find what you are doing very fascinating. I will be looking closely.

Kamala Harris is going to Harris County tomorrow. That plus the 24/hr voting should produce some residuals.
 

Dota

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
So you think the Biden can outpace Trump on Election Day?

There will be several keys to this. The 1st key will be election day turnout. The urban areas must beat the 2016 total. This is what I have my estimate based on so far. Here are the voting day numbers from 2016 for example...

1. Harris County: 334,833
2. Dallas County: 209,330
3. Tarrant County: 153, 284
4. Bexar County: 117,737
5. Travis County: 91,035
6. Collins County: 59,480
7. Denton County: 58,691
8. El Paso County: 63,562
9. Fort Bend County: 48,499
10. Higaldo County: 33,604

Now here's where the Beto line comes into effect. Those counties must keep the percentage of votes that Beto got vs Cruz in the 2018 Senate race and then gain some.

1. Harris County: (Beto 58.0%/ Cruz 41.3%)...every +1% Beto = 16k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 16k votes subtracted
2. Dallas County: (Beto 66.1%/ Cruz 33.1%)...every +1% Beto = 9k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 9k votes subtracted
3. Tarrant County: (Beto 49.9%/ Cruz 49.2%)...every +1% Beto = 7.9k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 7.9k votes subtracted
4. Bexar County: (Beto 59.5%/ Cruz 39.6%)...every +1% Beto = 7.2k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 7.2k votes subtracted
5. Travis County: (Beto 74.3%/ Cruz 24.6%)...every +1% Beto = 6k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 6k votes subtracted
6. Collins County: (Beto 46.5%/ Cruz 52.7%)...every +1% Beto = 4.6k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 4.6k votes subtracted
7. Denton County: (Beto 45.5%/ Cruz 53.7%)...every +1% Beto = 4k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 4k votes subtracted
8. El Paso County: (Beto 74.4%/ Cruz 25.0%)...every +1% Beto = 2.5k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 2.5k votes subtracted
9. Fort Bend County: (Beto 55.7%/ Cruz 43.6%)...every +1% Beto = 3.4k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 3.4k votes subtracted
10. Higaldo County: (Beto 66.1%/ Cruz 33.1%)...every +1% Beto = 1.9k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 1.9k votes subtracted

Two things to watch for is the Austin suburbs where Williams and Hays county already have passed their 2016 voting totals by almost 10% AND they flipped from red to blue (2016 presidential vs 2018 senate race). so if you look at those two counties...

Williams County: (Beto 50.8%/ Cruz 48.0%)...every +1% Beto = 2.7k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 2.7k votes subtracted
Hays County: (Beto 57.2%/ Cruz 41.8%)...every +1% Beto = 1k votes gained / every -1% Trump = 1k votes subtracted

The question becomes how much more blue those counties become election night. Right now Houston is the eye of this Democratic hurricane storm. The question will be will it grow to Category 5 and change Texas forever or will it fail out?
 
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Mrfreddygoodbud

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
The last 12 years these elections has stressed me out like yall would not believe. :(

After Bush 2000 fiasco and in 2016 Clinton getting the popular vote and

STILL losing ...

I just can't take this shit seriously ..

But it is a extremely entertain election and the crazy shit..

Is AFTER this election

Think about it..

They were attempting to kidnap a Gov before the election..

Imagine what goodies are in store if Trump loses...
 
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