Best Picture
Photo : Neon
“
Anora” (Neon)
***
“
The Brutalist” (A24)
“
A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“
Conclave” (Focus Features)
“
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“
I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“
Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“
The Substance” (Mubi)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “Anora” (Alex Coco, Samantha Quan and Sean Baker)
Could Win: “Conclave” (Tessa Ross, Juliette Howell and Michael A. Jackman)
Should Win: “I’m Still Here” (Maria Carlota Bruno and Rodrigo Teixeira)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Memoir of a Snail” (Adam Elliot, Liz Kearney); “Daughters” (Justin Benoliel, Laura Choi, James Cunningham, Kathryn Everett, Mindy Goldberg, Victor Kamwendo, Lisa Mazzotta); “The Wild Robot” (Jeff Hermann)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Director
Photo : Neon
Jacques Audiard
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Sean Baker ***
“Anora” (Neon)
Brady Corbet
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Coralie Fargeat
“The Substance” (Mubi)
James Mangold
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Will Win: Sean Baker (“Anora”)
Could Win: Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”)
Should Win: Coralie Fargeat (“The Substance”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Robert Eggers (“Nosferatu”); Mohammad Rasoulof (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”); RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Actor
Photo : A24
Adrien Brody ***
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Timothée Chalamet
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Colman Domingo
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Ralph Fiennes
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Sebastian Stan
“The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
Will Win: Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”)
Could Win: Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”)
Should Win: Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”); John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”); Misagh Zare (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Actress
Photo : Mubi
Cynthia Erivo
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Karla Sofía Gascón
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Mikey Madison
“Anora” (Neon)
Demi Moore ***
“The Substance” (Mubi)
Fernanda Torres
“I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Will Win: Demi Moore (“The Substance”)
Could Win: Mikey Madison (“Anora”)
Should Win: Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Carrie Coon (“His Three Daughters”); Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”); Zendaya (“Challengers”)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Supporting Actor
Photo : Searchlight Pictures
Yura Borisov
“Anora” (Neon)
Kieran Culkin ***
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Edward Norton
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Guy Pearce
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Jeremy Strong
“The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
Will Win: Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”)
Could Win: Jeremy Strong (“The Apprentice”)
Should Win: Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Tommy Dewey (“Saturday Night”); Bryan Tyree Henry (“The Fire Inside”); Sean San Jose (“Sing Sing”)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Supporting Actress
Photo : Focus Features
Monica Barbaro
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Ariana Grande
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Felicity Jones
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Isabella Rossellini ***
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Zoe Saldaña
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Will Win: Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”)
Could Win: Zoe Saldaña (“Emilia Pérez”)
Should Win: Monica Barbaro (“A Complete Unknown”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Michele Austin (“Hard Truths”); Jamie Lee Curtis (“The Last Showgirl”); Divya Prabha (“All We Imagine as Light”)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Original Screenplay
Photo : Searchlight Pictures
“
Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker
“
The Brutalist” (A24)
Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
“
A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
***
Jesse Eisenberg
“
September 5” (Paramount Pictures)
Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum, Alex David
“
The Substance” (Mubi)
Coralie Fargeat
Will Win: “A Real Pain” (Jesse Eisenberg)
Could Win: “Anora” (Sean Baker)
Should Win: “The Substance” (Coralie Fargeat)
Should Have Been Nominated: “His Three Daughters” (Azazel Jacobs); “In the Summers” (Alessandra Lacorazza Samudio); “Memoirs of a Snail” (Adam Elliott)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Adapted Screenplay
Photo : Focus Features
“
A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Jay Cocks, James Mangold
“
Conclave” (Focus Features)
***
Peter Straughan
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Jacques Audiard
“
Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios)
RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes
“
Sing Sing” (A24)
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield
Will Win: “Conclave” (Peter Straughn)
Could Win: “Nickel Boys” (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes)
Should Win: “Sing Sing” (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield)
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Bikeriders” (Jeff Nichols); “I’m Still Here” (Murilo Hauser, Heltor Lorega); “Wicked” (Dana Fox, Winnie Holzman)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Animated Feature
Photo : DreamWorks Animation
“
Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
“
Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
“
Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
“
Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
“
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
***
Will Win: “The Wild Robot” (Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann)
Could Win: “Inside Out 2” (Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen)
Should Win: “Memoir of a Snail” (Liz Kearney, Adam Elliott)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Transformers One” (Josh Cooley, Don Murphy, Tom DeSanto, Lorenzo di Bonaventura, Michael Bay, Mark Vahradian)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Production Design
Photo : Giles Keyte/Universal Pictures
“
The Brutalist” (A24)
“
Conclave” (Focus Features)
“
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“
Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
***
Will Win: “Wicked” (Nathan Crowley, Lee Sandales)
Could Win: “The Brutalist” (Judy Becker, Patricia Cuccia)
Should Win: “Nosferatu” (Craig Lathrop, Beatrice Brentnerova)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Maria” (Tom Brown, Guy Hendrix Dyas, Sandro Piccarozzi); “Memoir of a Snail” (Bob Shea); “Queer” (Stefano Baisi, Monica Sallustio, Lisa Scoppa)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Cinematography
Photo : A24
“
The Brutalist” (A24)
***
“
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“
Maria” (Netflix)
“
Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
Will Win: “The Brutalist” (Lol Crawley)
Could Win: “Nosferatu” (Jarin Blaschke)
Should Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Greig Fraser)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Better Man” (Erik A. Wilson); “Longlegs” (Andres Arochi Tinajero); “Nickel Boys” (Jomo Fray)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Costume Design
Photo : Universal Pictures
“
A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“
Conclave” (Focus Features)
“
Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
“
Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
***
Will Win: “Wicked” (Paul Tazewell)
Could Win: “Nosferatu” (Linda Muir)
Should Win: “Gladiator II” (Janty Yates and Dave Crossman)
Should Have Been Nominated: “”Dune: Part Two” (Jacqueline West); Saturday Night” (Danny Glicker); “The Substance” (Emmanuelle Youchnovski)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Film Editing
Photo : Focus Features
“
Anora” (Neon)
“
The Brutalist” (A24)
“
Conclave” (Focus Features)
***
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “Conclave” (Nick Emerson)
Could Win: “Anora” (Sean Baker)
Should Win: “Wicked” (Myron Kerstein)
Should Have Been Nominated: “September 5” (Hansjörg Weißbrich); “The Substance” (Coralie Fargeat, Jérôme Eltabet, Valentin Feron); “Will & Harper” (Monique Zavistovski)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Makeup and Hairstyling
Photo : Mubi
“
A Different Man” (A24)
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“
Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“
The Substance” (Mubi)
***
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “The Substance” (Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli)
Could Win: “Wicked” (Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth)
Should Win: “The Substance”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Dune: Part Two” (Rita Fekete, Donald Mowat, Eva Von Bahr); “Kinds of Kindness” (Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier, Josh Weston); “Maria” (Heike Merker, Adruitha Lee, Pamela Goldammer, Arjen Tuiten)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Sound
Photo : Warner Bros.
“
A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
***
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
“
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Will Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill)
Could Win: “A Complete Unknown” (Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco)
Should Win: “Wicked” (Simon Hayes, Nancy Nugent Title, Jack Dolman, Andy Nelson and John Marquis)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Nosferatu” (Damian Volpe, Stephen Little, David Giammarco, Paul Cotterell, Jakub Čech); “The Piano Lesson” (Onnalee Blank, Brian Tarlecki, Ando Johnson, Paul Reed); “Saturday Night” (William Files, Lee Gilmore, Tom Ozanich, William Files, Steve Morrow)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Visual Effects
Photo : ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection
“
Alien: Romulus” (20th Century Studios)
“
Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)
“
Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
***
“
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Will Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer)
Could Win: “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke)
Should Win: “Better Man” (Luke Millar, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Stopmotion” (Daniel Karlsson); “Tuesday” (Andrew Simmonds, Mike Stillwell); “The Wild Robot” (Jeff Budsberg)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Original Score
Photo : A24
“
The Brutalist” (A24)
***
“
Conclave” (Focus Features)
“
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“
Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
“
The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Will Win: “The Brutalist” (Daniel Blumberg)
Could Win: “Conclave” (Volker Bertelmann)
Should Win: “The Wild Robot” (Kris Bowers)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Dune: Part Two” (Hans Zimmer); “Flow” (Gints Zilbalodis, Rihards Zalupe); “Queer” (Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Original Song
Photo : Netflix
“Never Too Late” from “
Elton John: Never Too Late” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“El Mal” from “
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Mi Camino” from “
Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“The Journey” from “
The Six Triple Eight” (Netflix)
***
“Like a Bird” from “
Sing Sing” (A24)
Will Win: “The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Diane Warren)
Could Win: “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Jacques Audiard, Clément Ducol and Camille)
Should Win: “Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Clément Ducol and Camille)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Blitz” (“Winter Coat” by Nicholas Britell, Steve McQueen, and Taura Stinson); “Emilia Pérez” (“El Alegato” by Zoe Saldaña, Clément Ducol and Camille); “Kneecap” (“Sick In The Head” by Móglaí Bap, Mo Chara, DJ Próvaí, Adrian Louis Richard Mcleod, and Toddla T)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Documentary Feature
“
Black Box Diaries” (MTV Documentary Films)
“
No Other Land” (No U.S. Distribution)
“
Porcelain War” (Picturehouse)
***
“
Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat” (Kino Lorber)
“
Sugarcane” (National Geographic Documentary Films)
Will Win: “Porcelain War” (Brendan Bellomo, Slava Leontyev, Aniela Sidorska and Paula DuPre’ Pesmen)
Could Win: “No Other Land” (Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal and Yuval Abraham)
Should Win: “No Other Land”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Daughters” (Angela Patton, Natalie Rae); “Skywalkers: A Love Story” (Jeff Zimbalist, Maria Bukhonina, Tamir Ardon, Chris Smith, Nick Spicer); “Will & Harper” (Josh Greenbaum, Jessica Elbaum, Will Ferrell, Chris Leggett, Rafael Marmor)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
International Feature
Photo : Sony Pictures Classics
“
Emilia Pérez” from France (Netflix)
“
Flow” from Latvia (Janus Films/Sideshow)
“
The Girl with the Needle” from Denmark (Mubi)
“
I’m Still Here” from Brazil (Sony Pictures Classics)
***
“
The Seed of the Sacred Fig” from Germany (Neon)
Will Win: “I’m Still Here” (Brazil)
Could Win: “Emilia Pérez” (France)
Should Win: “I’m Still Here”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Devil’s Bath” (Austria); “All We Imagine as Light” (India); “Kneecap” (Ireland)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Animated Short
Photo : Toei Animation
“
Beautiful Men” (Miyu Distribution)
“
In the Shadow of Cypress” (Voce Spettacolo)
“
Magic Candies” (Toei Animation)
***
“
Wander to Wonder” (Bantam Film)
“
Yuck!” (Miyu Distribution)
Will Win: “Magic Candies” (Daisuke Nishio and Takashi Washio)
Could Win: “Wander to Wonder” (Nina Gantz and Stienette Bosklopper)
Should Win: “Beautiful Men” (Nicolas Keppens and Brecht Van Elslande)
Should Have Been Nominated: “A Crab in the Pool”
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Documentary Short
Photo : MTV Documentary Films
“
Death by Numbers” (Cuomo Cole Productions)
“
I Am Ready, Warden” (MTV Documentary Films)
***
“
Incident” (Hypnotic Pictures)
“
Instruments of a Beating Heart” (The New York Times OpDocs/Cineric Creative)
“
The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Netflix)
Will Win: “I Am Ready, Warden” (Smriti Mundhra and Maya Gnyp)
Could Win: “The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Molly O’Brien and Lisa Remington)
Should Win: “I Am Ready, Warden”
Should Have Been Nominated: “A Swim Lesson”
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Live Action Short
Photo : Netflix
“
Anuja” (Netflix)
***
“
I’m Not a Robot” (The New Yorker)
“
The Last Ranger” (Six Feet Films)
“
A Lien” (No U.S. Distribution)
“
The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent” (Manifest)
Will Win: “Anuja” (Adam J. Graves and Suchitra Mattai)
Could Win: “I’m Not a Robot” (Victoria Warmerdam and Trent)
Should Win: “I’m Not a Robot”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Dovecote”
variety.com
