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UPDATE: Donald Trump Takes Office as the 47th US President

Big Tex

Big Tex

Earth is round..gravity is real
BGOL Investor
Costanza said:
You can be smart when you want to be but that clearly wasn’t an objective for you today, Big Troll. :smh:
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Let me ask you a question. Why do progressives feel entitled to criticize the morality, decency, and intelligence of Dem daily, but when a dem criticizes a progressive you guys get offended and start talking about "not making enemies?"
 
tical

tical

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
I’m looking at all these “polls” with ballots turned in based on party registration and it makes you wonder.

How much registered Republicans are going to vote for Harris?

I’m assuming this election more than any previous one is going to see the biggest one registered party member vote for the other side in our history.

I’m wondering statistically how can we measure that?

@4 Dimensional

Anyone else?

I assume one way is based on the final results. If this thing is a HUGE blowout then the only logical
Explanation is a certain percentage of votes had to come from the other side to explain the variance from the norm dataset?
 
Camille

Camille

Kitchen Wench #TeamQuaid
Staff member
+
DC_Dude said:

JUST IN: Pastor Leah Daughtry, an influential Democrat and close friend of
@VP
Harris calls Kamala's rise to the top of the ticket a, "God moment." "So much of what happens in our lives is never the plan...it's always God's intervening." My interview with Leah Daughtry is part of a big national profile on the faith of Kamala Harris airing across the country next week on The 700 Club.
@KamalaHarris

@LeahDaughtry

@700club

@CBNNews
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It would be HUGE for the 700 club to do segments positive on her faith. If they are positive. Many evangelicals don't want Trump but have been listening to 2+ decades of "voting for dems is voting for Satan" rhetoric.
 
tical

tical

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Camille said:
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Camille said:
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That’s the question I asked earlier. It’s going to be really interesting to see what % of Republican either vote for Harris/Walz or Other all in an effort to hurt Trump/Vance!

Per ChatGPT

“Donald Trump won Florida in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Here's a breakdown:

- **2016**: Trump won Florida by 1.2 percentage points, receiving 49% of the vote compared to Hillary Clinton's 47.8%.
- **2020**: Trump won Florida by a larger margin, with 51.2% of the vote compared to Joe Biden's 47.9%, a difference of 3.3 percentage points.

Florida was a key battleground state in both elections.”

I’m not sure how my raw numbers makes up those percentages for Trumps previous victories. But it “sounds” like it could easily go eitherway and not the slam dunk for Trump based on prior performances.
 
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Camille

Camille

Kitchen Wench #TeamQuaid
Staff member
tical said:
That’s the question I asked earlier. It’s going to be really interesting to see what % of Republican either vote for Harris/Walz or Other all in an effort to hurt Trump/Vance!
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They are estimating 10% republican and 50-60 percent independents. I think she may get a higher percentage of Republicans but im basing that on my gut, not actual data.
 
ghoststrike

ghoststrike

Rising Star
Platinum Member
xfactor said:


www.realclearpolling.com

Top Battlegrounds – RCP Average

www.realclearpolling.com www.realclearpolling.com
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That unlikely, hypothetical electoral map is if there were "no tossup (battleground) states". You probably don't even realize there have been battleground states for DECADES in every General Election, including this current 2024 election. So far, the Early Vote count, tells us that Trump is nowhere near winning all 7 battleground states.

You are clearly out of your depth, here.
 
playahaitian

playahaitian

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