Update: Vice President Kamala Harris is now the Democratic presidential nominee

tical

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BGOL Investor


WHAT IS GOING ON with Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in Iowa? You know how I feel about any one individual poll, especially this close to election day. Polls have been more and more inaccurate for years, and if anything they get even more inaccurate just before the election. All that said, one new poll has been released that’s such an earthquake, it can’t be ignore. The Ann Selzer poll in Iowa has a history of being notoriously accurate. It was just released today, and it has Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump by three points in Iowa. This is, somehow, not a typo. This highly reputable poll has Kamala winning Iowa. This is a state where Trump won by eight points in 2020. Let’s all take a step back and a deep breath and assign some qualifiers to this. As I said at the top, polling in general is less reliable than ever. And no, I don’t think this means Kamala is necessarily going to win Iowa. But here’s the thing. Let’s say hypothetically that this poll is off by five points, which would be a lot given its history. Even in such case, that would only put Trump by two in Iowa in the best case scenario for him. And if Trump only wins Iowa by two points, it’s almost impossible to imagine him winning in Wisconsin, or Michigan, or Pennsylvania, or really any swing state. So even when you account for a large margin of error, this new poll is essentially telling us that Kamala is going to win every swing state and is going to compete in some red-leaning states. That is… a lot to chew on. But this Iowa thing didn’t come out of nowhere. Remember a few weeks ago when two Republican-held House seats in Iowa were suddenly reclassified as toss-up races? The state has been trending in this direction for weeks. Kamala (supposedly) taking the lead in Iowa is merely the culmination of what we’ve been seeing in the state. Speaking of Iowa, this new poll means that we must jump on the two competitive House races there. The Democratic candidates are
@lanon_baccam

and
@BohannanIowa
. Do whatever you can to show them last minute support. Donate, phone bank, follow and retweet them on Twitter, whatever you can. Even if Kamala doesn’t win Iowa, we now know that these two House seats in Iowa are up for grabs – and two seats could decide the House majority. Earlier in the week we saw a different poll that had Trump ahead by just three points in Ohio. Again, it’s just one poll, and it’s silly season. That said, if Trump were to win Ohio by just three points, Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown – who’s more popular in his state than the rest of the Democratic Party is – would likely win reelection. So now’s the time to make a final push behind
@SenSherrodBrown
. The bottom line is don’t start popping champagne yet. Buy a bottle if you want. But don’t dare open it. We still need to spend all day Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday getting more people to vote for Kamala Harris. Even if these latest polls are correct and she is going to win the election, we need it to be decisive. So let’s get out these final three days and run up the score. Let's win it all! Help us build Palmer Report into the kind of juggernaut that can directly take on the mainstream political media in 2024 and beyond:



This is fascinating and “logically” makes sense. We’ll find out soon if it translates come Election Day. But better for Harris to be in this position than trialing!
 
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DC_Dude

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BGOL Investor





ACTUALNEWS: Harris-Walz gameplan for 11/3

Vice President Harris will be in Michigan where she will attend service and deliver remarks at a Black church in Detroit, visit a local restaurant in Detroit’s Livernois district, make a stop at a local barbershop in Pontiac, and hold a rally in East Lansing.

Governor Tim Walz will campaign in the Atlanta metro area to energize and mobilize Georgia voters, making a political stop in Gwinnett County before delivering remarks at a joint GOTV rally in Cobb County with Second Gentleman Emhoff. In the evening, Governor Walz will participate in a political event near Charlotte, North Carolina.

Second Gentleman Emhoff will start his day in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, attending and delivering remarks at a church service, mobilizing attendees to get out the vote. Later, the Second Gentleman will deliver remarks at a joint GOTV rally in Cobb County with Governor Walz.

Mrs. Walz will travel to Grand Rapids, Michigan to speak at Sunday church services at The Renaissance Church of God in Christ, and First Community A.M.E. Church. She will then lead a canvass kickoff at a nearby field office in Kent County.
 

BlackGoku

Rising Star
Platinum Member

In my lifetime, I would NEVER expect a democrat to win TX..dont do this to me...dont give me hope

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DC_Dude

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
@DC_Dude we need you to get SC over the line into the Blue Category..whole east coast is blue except SC. You, Jamie and Bakari need to get on it.. :lol:

Man these negroes don't vote....Like Roland said, if 70% of the blacks in SC voted, SC would be blue....

Honestly, the issue is the areas where there are large populations of blacks and Dems is not growing (population wise) like Charlotte or Raleigh....It will be interesting to see what happens over the next few years though because there is a new EV car plant being built in Columbia (which is BLUE) and google is building 2 new data centers in the state...Hoping more people move in those areas and maybe it can turn blue, but I don't see it anytime soon..

Man it's like night and day from leaving DC and coming back home....LOL
 
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