I respect Josh alot, but this is interesting...
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Kamala's Kapital Gains Tax
Plus: Real estate fin-fluencers and we have the top new business book in America
Josh Brown
September 05, 2024
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Kamala’s capital gains tax
It’s not going to do anything to help anyone. It’s only going to further alienate business owners and affluent swing voters who detest Trump personally and are possibly in play for the Democrats. This only makes it so they’re not in play
as much. But she’s trying.
We keep hearing about how “college educated males” in purplish states like Georgia or Pennsylvania either swung to Biden in ‘20 or abstained from voting altogether (which probably meant a downside surprise for the Trump campaign). Will they show up for Kamala Harris this time? This is a big question in some fairly important districts.
I know these people. They don’t like disrespect for the police. They don’t like out of control illegal immigration. And they really don’t like to see success and hard work be “punished” either via rhetoric on the campaign trail or through tax policy. Their Numbers One and Two priorities are the physical safety of their families and the ability to make as much money as possible throughout the course of their lives. Nothing else even comes close. Not reproductive rights, not Ukraine, not Israel, not Jan 6, not Obamacare, not Hunter’s laptop, not Stormy Daniels, not trans athletes in the Olympics, not the environment.
You can say what you will in response to these priorities, I’m just telling you where this demo’s collective head is at. Go ahead, get mad, let it out…
Anyway.
That’s why you’re seeing the Harris campaign break from Biden’s economic platform on this singular issue of capital gains. I think it’s still going to hurt her chances more than it’s going to solve anything, but fine, it’s a gesture.
CNBC has the details of Kamala’s “softened” tax policy for high income earners:
Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday proposed a 28% tax on long-term capital gains for households with an annual income of $1 million or more, lower than the 39.6% rate President Joe Biden laid out in his 2025 fiscal year budget.
“We will tax capital gains at a rate that rewards investment in America’s innovators, founders and small businesses,” the Democratic presidential nominee said at a rally in North Hampton, New Hampshire. The Wall Street Journal was first to report Harris’ capital gains tax plan.
Long-term capital gains, or assets held for more than one year, are currently taxed at a maximum rate of 20%.
Harris’ announcement marks a rare divergence from Biden’s economic platform.
The newly minted Democratic presidential nominee has so far largely kept her economic proposals in line with those of her current boss.
Obviously, most college educated males are not earning $1 million a year today, but this misses the point. Many college educated men believe that this is possible for them to do. Most believe it’s only a matter of time. If they just meet the right connections or get the perfect opportunity. This is what drives America and makes our economy great - none of us has a ceiling. None of us has a cap. A smaller, less sturdy social safety net than in Europe, yes. But no limitations on our upside either. As such, we’re an aspirational society with endless possibilities out there on the horizon for anyone willing to take a risk.
And everyone daydreams about the business they might someday start or the value of the stock options they’ve been partially compensated with. The daydreamers
do not like the idea of seeing these imaginary earnings being taxed at a higher rate despite the fact that they haven’t been earned yet.
This might sound crazy to you and, if it does, you’re probably not the kind of person I’m speaking about. I think the people who understand this far outnumber those who don’t.
Raising the cap gains rate from 20% to 28% isn’t going to change the world but it’s certainly not going to make any friends. Even if it’s much better than the original Biden approach.
Trump’s going to make hay of this when he speaks to the
Economic Club of New York later today and during the debate next week. You can count on it.