"WW C"- COVID-19, GLOBAL CASES SURPASS 676 MILLION...Here we go again 2025 are we ready for Trump to fuck this up again?

Helico-pterFunk

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OutlawR.O.C.

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So far I have had less students email about being out with Covid than the delta surge last semester. Campus numbers are on a decline, so says the university.

Don’t know what that means. Just reporting it.

Sadly that may just be the result of people not getting tested and not taking this as serious as last year but hopefully its true.

As far as the university saying numbers are on the decline I'd be highly skeptical of that.
 
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4 Dimensional

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Sadly that may just be the result of people not getting tested and not taking this as serious as lqst year but hopefully its true.

As far as the university saying numbers are on the decline I'd be highly skeptical of that.

Definitely skeptical.

One thing I am proud to see is my young brothers and sister on campus masked up even when outside. Not 100% of them, but an overwhelming majority of them.
 

OutlawR.O.C.

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Definitely skeptical.

One thing I am proud to see is my young brothers and sister on campus masked up even when outside. Not 100% of them, but an overwhelming majority of them.

That's what's up.

I do believe that there's a direct correlation between individuals who are intelligent/educated and people who are adhering to the advised COVID safety protocols so that isn't surprising.
 

easy_b

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zod16

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That's what's up.

I do believe that there's a direct correlation between individuals who are intelligent/educated and people who are adhering to the advised COVID safety protocols so that isn't surprising.

You don't realize how big our problem is until you look at countries like India and Brasil that have their own trump like leaders as well as a host of other problems but still have a higher % vaccinated than us. :smh:

613b8fce2534ab001853c42b
 

ansatsusha_gouki

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You don't realize how big our problem is until you look at countries like India and Brasil that have their own trump like leaders as well as a host of other problems but still have a higher % vaccinated than us. :smh:

613b8fce2534ab001853c42b


Never,in a million years,I would thought India and Mexico would have a higher vaccination rate than this shithole country.
 

4 Dimensional

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You don't realize how big our problem is until you look at countries like India and Brasil that have their own trump like leaders as well as a host of other problems but still have a higher % vaccinated than us. :smh:

613b8fce2534ab001853c42b

The fine print suggest the sampling is insanely unbalanced to the United States. 48k interviews versus 2200 to 6600 interviewed in other countries, especially considering that India and China are both countries with over a billion people each.

If anything, what I infer about this data is that the US’ sample is more conclusive than the other because of the number of interviews. The other countries, especially China and India are extremely inconclusive. They would have to interview at least 200k people in China or India to match the 48k interviewed in the US.
 

zod16

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The fine print suggest the sampling is insanely unbalanced to the United States. 48k interviews versus 2200 to 6600 interviewed in other countries, especially considering that India and China are both countries with over a billion people each.

If anything, what I infer about this data is that the US’ sample is more conclusive than the other because of the number of interviews. The other countries, especially China and India are extremely inconclusive. They would have to interview at least 200k people in China or India to match the 48k interviewed in the US.

How does this work though? I remember reading that Gallup does around 1,000 participants for its polls as that is all that you need to get meaningful data without a crazy margin of error. I figured that 2k-6K would be an adequate sample size for countries larger than here but I also remember that there was point of diminishing return on adding to the sample size. This is all based off me remembering stuff from my college stats class a long time ago so tell me how I am messing this up. :lol:
 

lightbright

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Half Of Western Europe Could Soon Be Infected With COVID-19: WHO
The stark warning from the WHO cited estimates from the Institute of Health Metrics at the University of Washington.
AP


COPENHAGEN, Denmark (AP) — There were more than 7 million new cases of the omicron variant of COVID-19 across Europe in the first week of January, more than doubling in just two weeks, the World Health Organization said.
WHO Europe director Dr. Hans Kluge said at a media briefing on Tuesday that 26 countries in its region reported that more than 1% of their populations are being infected with COVID-19 each week, warning there is now a “closing window of opportunity” for countries to prevent their health systems from being overwhelmed.

He cited estimates from the Institute of Health Metrics at the University of Washington that projected half of the population in Western Europe will be infected with COVID-19 in the next six to eight weeks.

61dd94b92100004924703689.jpeg
Carina Dozauer evaluates a COVID-19 quick test in a test center in front of the Prohlis Kombibad in Dresden, Germany on January 11, 2022.

“Omicron moves faster and wider than any (previous) variant we have seen,” he said. Kluge called for countries to mandate the use of masks indoors and to prioritize vaccination, including booster doses, of at-risk populations, including health workers and older people. WHO’s Geneva headquarters has previously pleaded with rich countries not to offer booster doses and to donate them instead to poorer countries where vulnerable groups have yet to be immunized.

Kluge said he was greatly concerned that as omicron moves east across the European continent, the variant will take a much higher toll on countries with lower vaccination coverage rates. In Denmark, he noted the coronavirus hospitalization rate was six times higher in people who weren’t vaccinated compared to those who had been immunized.

Half Of Western Europe Could Soon Be Infected With COVID-19: WHO | HuffPost Latest News
 

4 Dimensional

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How does this work though? I remember reading that Gallup does around 1,000 participants for its polls as that is all that you need to get meaningful data without a crazy margin of error. I figured that 2k-6K would be an adequate sample size for countries larger than here but I also remember that there was point of diminishing return on adding to the sample size. This is all based off me remembering stuff from my college stats class a long time ago so tell me how I am messing this up. :lol:

In order to calculate margin of error, you need a confidence level. So the survey didn’t specify which confidence level they were using which makes a world of difference in the margin of error. Confidence levels are 80%, 85%, 90%, 95% (most commonly used), and 99%.


All you need is the population of the country, the estimated sample you think the surgery used and play around with different confidence levels.

Example
US population: 300 million
Sample from Survey: 48k
Confidence level: 95%
Margin of error: 0.45%

China population: 1.3 billion
Sample from survey: 6600 (although it’s not specified from the survey, I just assumed the highest)
Confidence level: 95%
Margin of error: 1.21%
 

zod16

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In order to calculate margin of error, you need a confidence level. So the survey didn’t specify which confidence level they were using which makes a world of difference in the margin of error. Confidence levels are 80%, 85%, 90%, 95% (most commonly used), and 99%.


All you need is the population of the country, the estimated sample you think the surgery used and play around with different confidence levels.

Example
US population: 300 million
Sample from Survey: 48k
Confidence level: 95%
Margin of error: 0.45%

China population: 1.3 billion
Sample from survey: 6600 (although it’s not specified from the survey, I just assumed the highest)
Confidence level: 95%
Margin of error: 1.21%

:bravo:

Those are really low margin of errors, right? Isn't usually 3% considered good?
 

4 Dimensional

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:bravo:

Those are really low margin of errors, right? Isn't usually 3% considered good?

Yes, ideally 3% is good at 95% confidence.

Those margin of errors are excellent, but a person like myself will call those stats into question because the population differences are so wide. And the margin of error difference are too wide. You want them closer if you’re comparing data.
 

easy_b

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Yes, ideally 3% is good at 95% confidence.

Those margin of errors are excellent, but a person like myself will call those stats into question because the population differences are so wide. And the margin of error difference are too wide. You want them closer if you’re comparing data.
 
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