BREAKING: INVASION HAS BEGUN..... Putin's "3-day war"... NOW... 1 YEAR 338 DAYS ...WAGNER HEAD SAYS GROUP STANDING DOWN AFTER CLAIMS OF DEAL
- Thread starter lightbright
- Start date
This war is more and more just becoming like a big advertising campaign for defense contractors
Last edited:
Malcolm already going there for publicity. He’s not going anywhere near that battlefield. Fool probably in Poland LOL.
Russia shifted its BTGs from other parts of Ukraine to parts closer to territories controlled since 2014.
The BTGs suffered bad losses but the true extent is starting to come out now.
This explains in part why the East is going so poorly despite Russia flooding it with assets. Russian BTGs should have 600-800 soldiers, 10 tanks, and 40 infantry fighting vehicles (along with assorted artillery, air defense, and logistics/support vehicles). Instead, we have some insights from a Russian volunteer on just how depleted the BTGs are now and other issues...
All of the translations are worth a read
The BTGs suffered bad losses but the true extent is starting to come out now.
This explains in part why the East is going so poorly despite Russia flooding it with assets. Russian BTGs should have 600-800 soldiers, 10 tanks, and 40 infantry fighting vehicles (along with assorted artillery, air defense, and logistics/support vehicles). Instead, we have some insights from a Russian volunteer on just how depleted the BTGs are now and other issues...
All of the translations are worth a read
They have exhausted their precision guided weapons. Notice the planes/helicopters engaging at low levels as opposed to from a safe distance with the use of precision guided ordinance. Also, look in the east where they are supposedly "liberating" the russian speaking inhabitants. There is no military theory that suggests using grads on territory you want to "liberate".
Think back to the invasion of Iraq in 2003. Iraq, even after 1991, had a larger military than Ukraine. It took 6 days to capture Baghdad...
The ratio of force/weapons fired etc. should be way higher than that for an invading force which is why they are in the predicament they are in.
This is also the main reason there are all types of leaks from FSB, "separatists" etc bitching about the lack of forces. They never had enough forces to start with not to mention after the high loss rate (in 3 months more than the entirety of the 10 year "operation" in Afghanistan). This shit is 80+ days in and what do they have to show especially considering not only the insane military loses but the political/economic isolation as well.I keep saying it but this shit was lost in the first week when they didn't take Kyiv etc. West/NATO expected a quick victory and offered very little in aid/support as they expected to have to deal with Russia politically/financially after the additional annexation. Fast forward to damn near 3 months later and the situation is completely different. It is actually hilarious to see the jedi level revisionism that is going on with the english speaking "pro russian" social media at the moment. This is what the "west" thought on 2/24:
Exclusive: U.S. Expects Kyiv to Fall in Days as Ukraine Source Warns of Encirclement
Three U.S. officials have told Newsweek they expect Ukraine's capital Kyiv to fall to incoming Russian forces within days, and the country's resistance to be effectively neutralized soon thereafter.
The officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said that Moscow's focus, as revealed in Russian President Vladimir Putin's references to a "special military operation" to "demilitarize" the neighboring country, would be to encircle Ukrainian forces and force them to surrender or be destroyed. They expect Kyiv to be taken within 96 hours, and then the leadership of Ukraine to follow in about a week's time.
"After the air and artillery end and the ground war really starts, I think Kyiv falls in just a few days," the former senior U.S. intelligence officer told Newsweek on the condition of anonymity as well.
"The military may last slightly longer," the former intelligence officer added, "but this isn't going to last long."
Exclusive: U.S. Expects Kyiv's Fall in Days, Ukraine Source Warns of Siege
"After the air and artillery end and the ground war really starts, I think Kyiv falls in just a few days," one former senior U.S. intelligence officer told Newsweek.
www.newsweek.com
Nobody expected Russia to be this much of a paper tiger so the "West" is taking advantage of the opportunity to destroy them at a discount.
Russia can thank incompetence, grift, corruption and actual stupidity for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory in epic fashion. We will be studying this forever just like Vietnam, Afghanistan etc. 
Russian state TV commentator admits Russia is isolated and Ukraine's military is formidable
I posted the link a few days back where he predicted the current situation as well.
I'm surprised he was even allowed to say that on Russian TV.I posted the link a few days back where he predicted the current situation as well.
They have exhausted their precision guided weapons. Notice the planes/helicopters engaging at low levels as opposed to from a safe distance with the use of precision guided ordinance. Also, look in the east where they are supposedly "liberating" the russian speaking inhabitants. There is no military theory that suggests using grads on territory you want to "liberate".
Think back to the invasion of Iraq in 2003. Iraq, even after 1991, had a larger military than Ukraine. It took 6 days to capture Baghdad...
The ratio of force/weapons fired etc. should be way higher than that for an invading force which is why they are in the predicament they are in.
I keep saying it but this shit was lost in the first week when they didn't take Kyiv etc. West/NATO expected a quick victory and offered very little in aid/support as they expected to have to deal with Russia politically/financially after the additional annexation. Fast forward to damn near 3 months later and the situation is completely different. It is actually hilarious to see the jedi level revisionism that is going on with the english speaking "pro russian" social media at the moment. This is what the "west" thought on 2/24:
Exclusive: U.S. Expects Kyiv to Fall in Days as Ukraine Source Warns of Encirclement
Three U.S. officials have told Newsweek they expect Ukraine's capital Kyiv to fall to incoming Russian forces within days, and the country's resistance to be effectively neutralized soon thereafter.
The officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said that Moscow's focus, as revealed in Russian President Vladimir Putin's references to a "special military operation" to "demilitarize" the neighboring country, would be to encircle Ukrainian forces and force them to surrender or be destroyed. They expect Kyiv to be taken within 96 hours, and then the leadership of Ukraine to follow in about a week's time.
"After the air and artillery end and the ground war really starts, I think Kyiv falls in just a few days," the former senior U.S. intelligence officer told Newsweek on the condition of anonymity as well.
"The military may last slightly longer," the former intelligence officer added, "but this isn't going to last long."
Exclusive: U.S. Expects Kyiv's Fall in Days, Ukraine Source Warns of Siege
"After the air and artillery end and the ground war really starts, I think Kyiv falls in just a few days," one former senior U.S. intelligence officer told Newsweek.
Nobody expected Russia to be this much of a paper tiger so the "West" is taking advantage of the opportunity to destroy them at a discount.
Russia’s stock could be low, very possible but bro don’t it makes sense to use high precision weapons in areas like Odesa, like the area Densa where they hit the training
Quarters(even thought the first one didn’t hit
It makes sense to use dumb bombs in areas where civilians ain’t present.
Areas in Mariupol around Azovstal, outskirts of Donbas, Popasna and so on…
Now the US is normally right with everything they said, so if Russia is running low, they running low.
US intel been telling us Moscow plans of attack along with their goals.
I know one thing Kyiv don’t look like Mariupol, was that because Kyiv air defenses system is superior,
did Russia not have missiles to send there,
was it not planned to destroy the capital of the country
Did Russia using Kyiv to occupy Ukraine focus, while troops got in place in the Southern region(like what President Zelensky or the MOD said Azov fighter did)
I think Odesa overall faith is still unclear…
Russia couldn’t capture via sea(which is an unthinkable task)but now if decides to, it’s possible fighters can approach via land…
that is true it might be propaganda and ain’t fucking telling these stupid people
Russia’s stock could be low, very possible but bro don’t it makes sense to use high precision weapons in areas like Odesa, like the area Densa where they hit the training
Quarters(even thought the first one didn’t hit
It makes sense to use dumb bombs in areas where civilians ain’t present.
Areas in Mariupol around Azovstal, outskirts of Donbas, Popasna and so on…
Now the US is normally right with everything they said, so if Russia is running low, they running low.
US intel been telling us Moscow plans of attack along with their goals.
I know one thing Kyiv don’t look like Mariupol, was that because Kyiv air defenses system is superior,
did Russia not have missiles to send there,
was it not planned to destroy the capital of the country
Did Russia using Kyiv to occupy Ukraine focus, while troops got in place in the Southern region(like what President Zelensky or the MOD said Azov fighter did)
I think Odesa overall faith is still unclear…
Russia couldn’t capture via sea(which is an unthinkable task)but now if decides to, it’s possible fighters can approach via land…
This was supposed to go like Czechoslovakia in 1968: overwhelming force and quick capitulation. Nobody sends in Il-76s loaded with VDV towards Kyiv as a diversionary tactic.
As Russia launched its invasion, the U.S. gave Ukrainian forces detailed intelligence about exactly when and where Russian missiles and bombs were intended to strike, prompting Ukraine to move air defenses and aircraft out of harm’s way, current and former U.S. officials told NBC News.
That near real-time intelligence-sharing also paved the way for Ukraine to shoot down a Russian transport plane carrying hundreds of troops in the early days of the war, the officials say, helping repel a Russian assault on a key airport near Kyiv.
U.S. intel helped Ukraine shoot down Russian plane carrying troops
Ukrainian forces have used specific coordinates shared by the U.S. to direct fire on Russian positions and aircraft, current and former officials tell NBC News.
www.nbcnews.com
As for precision munitions, the majority of munitions used by coalition forces in 2003 were guided/precision weapons and we still killed a ton of civilians. It is 2022, damn near 20 years later, and the russians are using grads to fire unguided rockets at cities and towns. This isn't an accident just like the rape/looting etc. isn't random.
Significant civilian casualties occurred in the air war in Iraq despite the use of a high percentage of precision weapons. Of the 29,199 bombs dropped during the war by the United States and United Kingdom, nearly two-thirds (19,040) were precision-guided munitions.21 In the Persian Gulf conflict in 1991, 8 percent of all bombs dropped were PGMs; in Yugoslavia in 1999 approximately one-third were PGMs; in Afghanistan in 2002 approximately 65 percent were PGMs.22
It isn't just that they are low on guided munitions, it is also that the guided munitions they do have are terrible.
"We do assess that they [Russia] are running through their precision-guided missiles at a pretty fast clip," said Pentagon Press Secretary John F. Kirby last Tuesday. "We know that in Mariupol for instance, their use of munitions has migrated from almost all precision-guided to a significant number of what we would call dumb bombs, non-precision-guided munitions."
"Due to the fact that the enemy used almost the entire set of cruise missiles of the 'Kalibr' and 'Iskander' tactical missile systems during the first twenty days of the operation, he continues to launch missile and bomb strikes on infrastructure and housing neighborhoods of large cities using indiscriminate weapons," the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine claimed in a statement in mid-March.
Exclusive: U.S. assesses up to 60% failure rate for some Russian missiles, officials say
Exclusive: U.S. assesses up to 60% failure rate for some Russian missiles, officials say
The United States assesses that Russia is suffering failure rates as high as 60% for some of the precision-guided missiles it is using to attack Ukraine, three U.S. officials with knowledge of the intelligence told Reuters.
We are approaching 90 days of conflict and look where the "battle" is
This is from February 28th where you can see how russia deployed their assets in the original version of the invasion plan
Never seen some dumb shit like this from a major military power.
