Coronavirus math says 1.4 million Americans will die this year? Or am I missing something

BKF

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Some people are just stupid and the people who stupid human behavior are taking notice of that stupidity.
 
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mk23666

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
There are 6-8 COVID-19 variants worldwide right now. The prediction is that it will be around 20-24 variants by the end of the year.
 

slewdem100

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Flu usually has more victims in less time and more casualities.. Flu game so great it made millions worldwide take a shot every yr juss so they won't see them hands

Flu: my name is legendary in these streets..respek my gangsta partner
Coronavirus deaths just doubled in 2 days....I actually hope your opinion of coronavirus is correct...the numbers and the reports from people on the frontline say different
 

gene cisco

Not A BGOL Eunuch
BGOL Investor
And the entire population WONT be infected by this virus.

Right now with roughly 125000 known infections in the US there are about 2250 deaths.

So what does that mean? At least 1 million cases? Possibly 5 million or more? How long do you think it's really been here spreading. Like I said in another thread, something wicked passed through the house in early march and completely knocked the ol' lady on her ass. She had the flu and pneumonia last year, and said even then she didn't feel this weak and achy. At that point, weren't any confirmed cases in Ohio and Corona wasn't really a thought for us.

These cacs gonna wish they had some Obamacare.
What they really going to wish is that they took better care of themselves. I'd guess the U.S. is the fattest country to get this shit. Self-imposed diabetes, heart disease, and hypertension. Want doctors and nurses to work miracles.

Media is really going to try to run with the outliers, but I bet most deaths going to be old people who Father Time just got the best of or people who didn't take care of themselves. :smh: It's not going to be popular to blame the varying death rates in countries to how the populations care for themselves. Folks have to remember those who have better immune systems ain't going to be flooding the hospitals and using valuable resources. Italy has universal care and got obliterated.
 

donwuan

The Legend
BGOL Investor
This is from Feb 15 and the epidemiologist was pulling numbers out his ass. There's no math behind this. Having said that, yes its possible for 1.4 million Americans to die eventually from covid19. The virus is not going away this year.
The article said this year tho.
 

easy_b

Easy_b is in the place to be.
BGOL Investor
Listen guys I believe this model that they presented about this virus. You have to keep in mind that the government may not be telling you the real story and they are not doing Large scale testing around the country.
 

tallblacknyc

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Listen guys I believe this model that they presented about this virus. You have to keep in mind that the government may not be telling you the real story and they are not doing Large scale testing around the country.
It's been obvious since day 1 they don't have large scale testing... The governor of NYC clearly has stated NYC has tested two to 3 times more than the 2nd most tested state cali... It's why NYC numbers look so high compared to every1'else.. Also cause population numbers and way people interact.. The numbers will always be off.. Just imagine if twice or hell 4 times the amount had it or have it.. That means the chances of you dying decreases more if you found out more people had it and didn't die
 

easy_b

Easy_b is in the place to be.
BGOL Investor
It's been obvious since day 1 they don't have large scale testing... The governor of NYC clearly has stated NYC has tested two to 3 times more than the 2nd most tested state cali... It's why NYC numbers look so high compared to every1'else.. Also cause population numbers and way people interact.. The numbers will always be off.. Just imagine if twice or hell 4 times the amount had it or have it.. That means the chances of you dying decreases more if you found out more people had it and didn't die
Another problem is 30 to 40% of this country is not healthy so you have to keep that part in mind when it comes to this Virus
 

tallblacknyc

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Another problem is 30 to 40% of this country is not healthy so you have to keep that part in mind when it comes to this Virus
the number is higher if you take in the fact of liq use, cig use, drug use... Corona virus gonna make people fuck around and become sober and clean to increase immune system


wait a sec so corona might end up being a good thing? Corona gods have spoken
 

Tito_Jackson

Truth Teller
Registered
U.S. population is about 327 million.

2% of population is estimated to contract virus.

That's about 6.5 million.

Worldwide, 20% of those with the virus succumb to the illness. Keep in mind, poverty, wealth, access to healthcare, and other co-factors effect individuals probability.

Roughly 1.4 million.

Mostly elderly and those with chronic illnesses.
 

easy_b

Easy_b is in the place to be.
BGOL Investor
the number is higher if you take in the fact of liq use, cig use, drug use... Corona virus gonna make people fuck around and become sober and clean to increase immune system


wait a sec so corona might end up being a good thing? Corona gods have spoken
I hate to say this but most people who are on drugs I’m not going to stop because of this virus. Actually they may do a little more drugs because of this virus.
 

tallblacknyc

Rising Star
Certified Pussy Poster
I hate to say this but most people who are on drugs I’m not going to stop because of this virus. Actually they may do a little more drugs because of this virus.
there's diff type of drugs.. Ull be surprised how a health scare can change a percentage of people's bad habits

Humans trying social distance

God said no this is a forced Ramadan
 

easy_b

Easy_b is in the place to be.
BGOL Investor
there's diff type of drugs.. Ull be surprised how a health scare can change a percentage of people's bad habits

Humans trying social distance

God said no this is a forced Ramadan
I’m not trying to be funny or sarcastic but have you been out near people lately??? The Opioids users for example do not care what the hell is going on as long as they get their pills.
 

Tito_Jackson

Truth Teller
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There is evidence that is leading us to believe that individuals who engage in regular weed smoking are significantly more likely to have complications resulting from the virus.

Why? Because even if you say that weed is natural (kinda).....inhaling carbon is not. In fact it is a anti life process damaging various portions of your lungs.

These same damaged portions are what's affected by covid-19.
 

tallblacknyc

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I’m not trying to be funny or sarcastic but have you been out near people lately??? The Opioids users for example do not care what the hell is going on as long as they get their pills.
I'm outside everyday..

OPiods ain't really in the areas I be around.. In fact I hear more about those things in cac towns.. Just like I'm not familiar with meth heads and labs... I wouldn't even want to be in those kind of surroundings... Weed, pills, coke would probably be more things that I might see.. Mostly weed
 

babygwirl18

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125,000 infections in 4 months with a population of 330+ million people... That's not even 33 percent of 1 percent... This is the number people really need to understand... Not even half of 1 percent of Americans are affected by this.. That is literally laughed at by the plague gods... Corona couldn't even sit at the baby chair of plagues.. Flu even looking at corona like "seats taken" when corona tried to sit down next to him
Did you read the article, and the link to the Harvard doctors paper?

Their theory is that viruses as contagious as corona (remember it started with 1 Chinese man and now spread to 100,000 people) don’t just disappear. They continue to infect the population until we either have herd immunity or a vaccine. That is the only way this disease will end. Social distancing is not a cure, and it’s not even supposed to be. It’s just a means to keep us safe until we either get herd immunity or a vaccine.

The number of people infected by the diseases increases by a factor of 10 every 2 weeks. That’s called exponential growth.

Your above point is that only 125,000 people are infected. But with exponential growth, it means 1.250,000 people will have it in mid April, and 12.500,000 people will have it by the end of the month. It just gets worse from there.
 

moufasa

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A million worldwide for sure, but we’ll never get an accurate number on that. 100k in US—easily. It’s doubling every 48 hours.

Bro doubling every 48 hours is not 1m worldwide. It’s waaay higher

In fact doubling every 48 hours is 100k Americans dead by Easter (April 12) when your president was talking about re opening

Exponential math is hard for most people to grasp. 2-4-8-16-32-64-128-256-512-1048. 20 days to jump from 2k to 1m
 
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tallblacknyc

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Certified Pussy Poster
Did you read the article, and the link to the Harvard doctors paper?

Their theory is that viruses as contagious as corona (remember it started with 1 Chinese man and now spread to 100,000 people) don’t just disappear. They continue to infect the population until we either have herd immunity or a vaccine. That is the only way this disease will end. Social distancing is not a cure, and it’s not even supposed to be. It’s just a means to keep us safe until we either get herd immunity or a vaccine.

The number of people infected by the diseases increases by a factor of 10 every 2 weeks. That’s called exponential growth.

Your above point is that only 125,000 people are infected. But with exponential growth, it means 1.250,000 people will have it in mid April, and 12.500,000 people will have it by the end of the month. It just gets worse from there.
I remember when this s hit first kicked off.. This non Harvard dude whose typing to you right now questioned should we stop all packages from asia, aren't virus ability to stay on surfaces pretty long.. All the experts , guys with fancy degrees, and lab coats said not to worry these things shouldn't last long on surfaces... Boyyyyyyy was those experts wrong... I tend to use my ability to question certain things that don't make sense to me instead of putting my full trust in experts.. It's how I have survived this long on earth.. I also love using the universal language of math.. When you break things down with it you start exposing truths.. Also following nature helps maneuver on this planet.. Those 2 things can best explain anything and everything , when we go against it is when society usually has most problems
 

Tito_Jackson

Truth Teller
Registered
Again, I am never surprised at the resistance of human beings to prevent our own demise. We are not invincible.

Simple logic, the more people are tested, the more positive results we will discover. The more people continue to congregate, the more it will spread.

People wont fully believe until we have reached the precipice and by then it wont matter.

the-good-thing-about-science-is-that-its-true-whether-6930218.png
 

BigDaddyBuk

still not dizzy.
Platinum Member
So what does that mean? At least 1 million cases?
It means that the OP's supposition is that all Americans would be infected resulting in 1% of the population dying.

There is no science to support that. Worse case scenarios saw 50% infection rates.

Real cases show <1% rates in both Italy and China.

Now that scientists have had time to look at this for 3 months they've found that covid 19 is dangerous as hell, but isnt as infectious as measles and aint as deadly as ebola.

It is mostly transmitted through contact.

And AGAIN, more than 85% of the infected range from having mild symptoms to being asymptomatic.

Covid 19 is here to stay, routine treatment is months away and a vaccine is a year to years away.

We need to stay calm, be sensible in our interactions, competent in our hygiene, and wiser in our selection of national leaders.
 

tallblacknyc

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Again, I am never surprised at the resistance of human beings to prevent our own demise. We are not invincible.

Simple logic, the more people are tested, the more positive results we will discover. The more people continue to congregate, the more it will spread.

People wont fully believe until we have reached the precipice and by then it wont matter.

the-good-thing-about-science-is-that-its-true-whether-6930218.png
name the plague in all the centuries of humans getting them where social distance was the go to cure? 19never happened
 

babygwirl18

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Registered
It means that the OP's supposition is that all Americans would be infected resulting in 1% of the population dying.

There is no science to support that. Worse case scenarios saw 50% infection rates.

Real cases show <1% rates in both Italy and China.

Now that scientists have had time to look at this for 3 months they've found that covid 19 is dangerous as hell, but isnt as infectious as measles and aint as deadly as ebola.

It is mostly transmitted through contact.

And AGAIN, more than 85% of the infected range from having mild symptoms to being asymptomatic.

Covid 19 is here to stay, routine treatment is months away and a vaccine is a year to years away.

We need to stay calm, be sensible in our interactions, competent in our hygiene, and wiser in our selection of national leaders.
Brother you are 100% wrong here.

Every scientist has said that the virus will continue to infect people until either we develop a vaccine or we develop herd immunity (which happens when between 50-75% of the planet gets the disease).

No scientist, to my knowledge has ever said, nor has given any reason to think that it will stop infecting people when it reaches 1%.
 

TooTrilla

Mil Town Legend
BGOL Investor
I just shake my head when people see all this death and act like it's no big deal..And then want to look at you like you're the crazy one....

:smh: :smh: :smh: :smh:
All what death? How much has the death rate increased in the world since corona hit? How many people that died were on course to die shortly anyways? Majority of people who died here were already sick. People in nursing homes, even hospice. But the NEWS will blame everything on the virus. How the fuck are you in hospice about to die in a few weeks, catch corona and check out early, then given a cause of death due to the virus? Nevermind that cancer, heart failure, alzheimer's, high blood pressure, severe diabetes, or what ever else you had going on. Apparently you would have lived another 20 years if it wasnt for corona....yeah ok.
 
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tallblacknyc

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All what death? How much has the death rate increased in the world since corona hit? How many people that died were on course to die shortly anyways? Majority of people who died here were already sick. People in nursing homes, even hospice. But the NEWS will blame everything on the virus. How the fuck are you in hospice about to die in a few weeks, catch corona and check out early, then given a cause of death due to the virus? Nevermind that cancer, heart failure, alzheimer's, high blood pressure, severe diabetes, or what ever else you had going on. Apparently you woukd have lived another 20 years if it wasnt for corona....yeah ok.
listen playboy so what there's been volcanoes that have killed more people in a day than this virus has worldwide in several months.. The news talk about it, the President talks about it, people in lab coats, so it must be bad... Just think how some people wouldve reacted centuries ago and they seen on video a volcanoe literally wiping out more people in a town than a worldwide virus.. Dudes probably built boats and moved into the middle of the ocean cause land was dangerous and the news said so
 

TooTrilla

Mil Town Legend
BGOL Investor
the number is higher if you take in the fact of liq use, cig use, drug use... Corona virus gonna make people fuck around and become sober and clean to increase immune system


wait a sec so corona might end up being a good thing? Corona gods have spoken
Made me quit smoking and drinking cold turkey 2 weeks ago :lol: I said fuck it, if I catch it let me be able to fight it as best as possible. Wasnt like I was a super heavy smoker or drinker anyways.
At the end of the day, everybody on BGOL is a fucking know it all. If u dont agree with them, somehow you're an idiot. Even if this shit gets as bad as they say it can, wtf is all the panic for? That aint gonna cure you, only bring your mental health down. People think Ive been downplaying this virus the last few weeks. Wrong. Im just stating facts and trying to help people relax. Seems everybody has went ape shit like we're all gonna die. Niggas watch way too many movies.
 

moufasa

Rising Star
Registered
I remember when this s hit first kicked off.. This non Harvard dude whose typing to you right now questioned should we stop all packages from asia, aren't virus ability to stay on surfaces pretty long.. All the experts , guys with fancy degrees, and lab coats said not to worry these things shouldn't last long on surfaces... Boyyyyyyy was those experts wrong... I tend to use my ability to question certain things that don't make sense to me instead of putting my full trust in experts.. It's how I have survived this long on earth.. I also love using the universal language of math.. When you break things down with it you start exposing truths.. Also following nature helps maneuver on this planet.. Those 2 things can best explain anything and everything , when we go against it is when society usually has most problems

the virus didn’t come in through a package from Asia
It can’t survive that trip and that long a time
People traveling around the world means it was going to come here regardless
 

tallblacknyc

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Certified Pussy Poster
the virus didn’t come in through a package from Asia
It can’t survive that trip and that long a time
People traveling around the world means it was going to come here regardless
people wear gloves and don't give handshakes because the virus last longer on surfaces than they first expected.. The whole point was about contaminated surfaces.. It's why so many bizz wiping down s hit way more than a lil... That's why this is the big scary virus , no touching, stay away from everybody
 

Tito_Jackson

Truth Teller
Registered
name the plague in all the centuries of humans getting them where social distance was the go to cure? 19never happened
With all due respect, you like many millions of others thinking about it wrong. First, there is and will not be a cure. Will there be ways to treat and provide resistance? Yes. Cure? no.

Second, the idea behind social distancing is to slow or stop the spread. Again slow or stop the spread. Why? Because most of us will be able to naturally develop antibodies that will prevent spreading the virus. The problem is, people are continuously spreading the virus before our bodies natural defences can act. Basically, social distancing allows three things to happen.

1. Some people with it will die, therefore they cant spread it.

2. Some people with it will naturally develop antibodies, therefore they cant spread it.

3. Some people wont get it, therefore they cant spread it.

Very logical concept. But, extremely difficult to inact.
 

moufasa

Rising Star
Registered
Hospital beds capacity is what’s missing in this discussion
America doesn’t have a 20% ICU capacity
Not even 1% to take 3m ICU beds
More like 0.1% or 300k
If even just 20% get infected and 5% get sick that’s 1.7m dead

 

tallblacknyc

Rising Star
Certified Pussy Poster
Made me quit smoking and drinking cold turkey 2 weeks ago :lol: I said fuck it, if I catch it let me be able to fight it as best as possible. Wasnt like I was a super heavy smoker or drinker anyways.
At the end of the day, everybody on BGOL is a fucking know it all. If u dont agree with them, somehow you're an idiot. Even if this shit gets as bad as they say it can, wtf is all the panic for? That aint gonna cure you, only bring your mental health down. People think Ive been downplaying this virus the last few weeks. Wrong. Im just stating facts and trying to help people relax. Seems everybody has went ape shit like we're all gonna die. Niggas watch way too many movies.
I feel you, I see the same thing you talking about on here.. Nigs act like I was gonna end the world cause I said I'm not staying inside.. Dudes act like if a person cough in cali 24 hours later his germs gonna wipe out the population in Chicago.. I'm like wtf have ya been reading.. Ya sure we talking about the same virus.. Ya not getting ya notes from the happening script
 

shaddyvillethug

Cac Free Zone
BGOL Investor
There is evidence that is leading us to believe that individuals who engage in regular weed smoking are significantly more likely to have complications resulting from the virus.

Why? Because even if you say that weed is natural (kinda).....inhaling carbon is not. In fact it is a anti life process damaging various portions of your lungs.

These same damaged portions are what's affected by covid-19.
Nigga please
 
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