So when’s the housing bubble bursting?

tebriel69

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
In other words, it’ll be similar to 08 with a lot of foreclosures and whatnot. Kinda not feeling too bad about getting priced out.
 

Dr. Truth

보지를 먹어라
BGOL Investor
In other words, it’ll be similar to 08 with a lot of foreclosures and whatnot. Kinda not feeling too bad about getting priced out.
Nothing like 08 where people working retail jobs could qualify for 700k mortgages. Getting a loan today is way harder and you need max proof of income. So no this is nothing like 08 and will not be some big crash.
 

thismybgolname

Rising Star
OG Investor
Nothing like 08 where people working retail jobs could qualify for 700k mortgages. Getting a loan today is way harder and you need max proof of income. So no this is nothing like 08 and will not be some big crash.
I was watching some of the videos from Orlando Miner and he said there is a large % of people that still have ARM loans.
 

4 Dimensional

Rising Star
Platinum Member
I was watching some of the videos from Orlando Miner and he said there is a large % of people that still have ARM loans.

Yes, but the are more protected this time around.

here is an example from where I’m going to get my loan from.

“Because the interest rate may only be adjusted every five years, this product offers additional protection against rising rates1. The rate may not change by more than 2% every five years or 6% over the life of the loan.

Also, I’m not sure ARMs if were limited to change ever 5 years when 2008 happened. It seems like people were buying houses with ARMs and not long afterwards, the rates went up and they no longer could afford the payments.

so this crash will not be like 2008. I think this crash will look like more of a loss of equity for those that overpaid for houses.
 
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Coldchi

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
In other words, it’ll be similar to 08 with a lot of foreclosures and whatnot. Kinda not feeling too bad about getting priced out.
That's exactly what it will be......except no bailouts for companies like AIG, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac, other financial institutions, etc again....

Alot of big companies adjust salary rates with rising inflation.....and those that don't want to hand out raises......will start with massive layoffs to cut costs. It's already started happening at one of the jobs I work at.
 

RUDY RAYYY MO

Rising Star
BGOL Patreon Investor
Yes, but the are more protected this time around.

here is an example from where I’m going to get my loan from.

“Because the interest rate may only be adjusted every five years, this product offers additional protection against rising rates1. The rate may not change by more than 2% every five years or 6% over the life of the loan.

Also, I’m not sure ARMs where limited to change ever 5 years when 2008 happened. It seems like people where buying houses with ARMs and not long afterwards, the rates went up and they no longer could afford the payments.

so this crash will not be like 2008. I think this crash will look like more of a loss of equity for those that overpaid for houses.
ARMs are what caused a lot of Black folk to lose homes in 07 - 08
 

EPDC

El Pirate Del Caribe
BGOL Investor
Eying on selling my home outside of Orlando. We bought it in 2016 for 222K. We owe like 185K on our mortgage. It's current estimated value on Redfin is 475K. That's not even including the following updates we have made:
  1. new AC unit
  2. new Hot water tank
  3. Screened pool/patio and garage
  4. New front doors (went from single to double doors)
  5. New roof (just last month)
I'm looking to move back north to Buffalo and buy a home in the suburbs. Saw some really nice ones with space for 250K. If we can sell our current home and double our money, I'm paying cash.
 

blackbull1970

The Black Bastard
Platinum Member
Anybody ever think of living on a boat?

How many Blacks folks you know have done it?

White folks been in this game for decades.

$229k 1990 Neptunus 62 Flybridge Power Motor Yacht Tour

 

blackbull1970

The Black Bastard
Platinum Member
This Gates-Backed Startup Builds Modular Homes Out of Energy-Efficient Panels

Vanessa Bates Ramirez
4 weeks ago


As you might have heard, we’re in the midst of a housing crisis, not only in the US but in many parts of the world. It’s been going on since before the pandemic, but Covid-19 and its lockdowns, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages have made the problem worse.

Companies specializing in cutting-edge construction techniques are aiming to make a difference by churning out high-quality homes at a lower cost than traditional industry standards. Among these are 3D printed homes, “foldable” homes, and homes that ship in kits then are assembled like Ikea furniture.

Now a new player is joining the list, and it just got a serious financial boost. Vantem Global has already helped construct a total of over three million square feet of living space in six different countries, and earlier this month closed a Series A funding round co-led by Breakthrough Energy Ventures (Breakthrough was founded by Bill Gates in 2015 to invest in sustainable energy and emissions-reduction technologies).

Vantem’s energy-efficient prefabricated homes are made of structural panels. The panels were designed as a replacement for brick and cement, which are expensive, difficult to make, and heavy on emissions. Each panel consists of an insulating layer sandwiched by tiles made of a cement-like material. Since the panels are more similar to cement than wood or plastic are, they’re more likely to be positively perceived by customers who are used to cement (as many in Latin America are, where Vantem has thus far focused most of its construction).

The panels aren’t just used for exterior walls, they’re for interior walls and roofs too. Production of the panels is highly automated, and they’re shipped to building sites pre-cut and ready for installation. They’re highly modular and can be used for multi-story buildings, commercial spaces, or single-family homes—and in fact have already been used for a hotel in Uruguay, high-end housing, and low-cost housing, among other projects.

Vantem says the panels are safe for use in high seismic zones and areas with hurricane-level winds, and that the insulation they provide is up to five times better than traditional building materials; that makes for higher energy efficiency since there’s less leakage of heating and cooling. They’re also resistant to fire, water, and insects.

Vantem’s system has been used on buildings in Uruguay, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, and the Caribbean. The company plans to use its Series A funds to expand its operations in the US, namely by building 15 factories to produce its panels. Facilities are planned for Arizona, California, Texas, and North and South Dakota in 2023, with additional sites to be determined and built by the end of the decade. Each Vantem factory will reportedly be able to churn out materials for more than a million square feet of housing a year.

“Construction in this sector has seen the least amount of innovation and productivity gains and is one of the greatest direct and indirect sources of carbon emissions,” said Vantem CEO Chris Anderson in a press release. “At the same time, affordable housing is a global need that must be addressed, but if we build with traditional methods, we will solve one problem only to worsen another. At Vantem, we are committed to addressing both challenges on a global scale.” One project Vantem has in the works entails building 3,000 units of affordable housing in Uruguay.

Vantem isn’t the first company to try putting a hip new spin on prefab and modular homes. Las Vegas-based Boxabl ships pre-fabricated “foldable” houses in a 20-foot-wide load, and once delivered the homes can be up and running in as little as a day. Similarly, Seattle-based Green Canopy NODE homes come in flat-pack kits that fit in standard shipping containers, and they don’t require specialists to assemble.

A 2019 McKinsey report on modular construction says the technique is seeing a comeback, largely thanks to technological improvements; digital tools have facilitated the design of modules and helped optimize delivery logistics. In addition, consumer perception of prefab housing is improving as its designs take on a sleek, modern character. Most importantly, modular construction assisted by digital technologies can make home building up to 50 percent faster, at a cost that’s comparable to or lower than traditional building costs.

According to Anderson, Vantem’s technique makes the building process 50 percent faster than traditional construction methods and around 20 percent less expensive. Adding solar panels makes the buildings net zero (though they don’t come standard as part of the building; their integration will be up to individual homeowners or developers).

Though there are no Vantem homes in the US yet, there could soon be many, with construction of its first domestic factories slated to start next year. With the ongoing shortage would-be homebuyers are experiencing—particularly first-time homebuyers—it won’t be surprising if Vantem quickly has people lining up to put down a deposit.

maxresdefault.jpg
 

blackpepper

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
This Gates-Backed Startup Builds Modular Homes Out of Energy-Efficient Panels

Vanessa Bates Ramirez
4 weeks ago


As you might have heard, we’re in the midst of a housing crisis, not only in the US but in many parts of the world. It’s been going on since before the pandemic, but Covid-19 and its lockdowns, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages have made the problem worse.

Companies specializing in cutting-edge construction techniques are aiming to make a difference by churning out high-quality homes at a lower cost than traditional industry standards. Among these are 3D printed homes, “foldable” homes, and homes that ship in kits then are assembled like Ikea furniture.

Now a new player is joining the list, and it just got a serious financial boost. Vantem Global has already helped construct a total of over three million square feet of living space in six different countries, and earlier this month closed a Series A funding round co-led by Breakthrough Energy Ventures (Breakthrough was founded by Bill Gates in 2015 to invest in sustainable energy and emissions-reduction technologies).

Vantem’s energy-efficient prefabricated homes are made of structural panels. The panels were designed as a replacement for brick and cement, which are expensive, difficult to make, and heavy on emissions. Each panel consists of an insulating layer sandwiched by tiles made of a cement-like material. Since the panels are more similar to cement than wood or plastic are, they’re more likely to be positively perceived by customers who are used to cement (as many in Latin America are, where Vantem has thus far focused most of its construction).

The panels aren’t just used for exterior walls, they’re for interior walls and roofs too. Production of the panels is highly automated, and they’re shipped to building sites pre-cut and ready for installation. They’re highly modular and can be used for multi-story buildings, commercial spaces, or single-family homes—and in fact have already been used for a hotel in Uruguay, high-end housing, and low-cost housing, among other projects.

Vantem says the panels are safe for use in high seismic zones and areas with hurricane-level winds, and that the insulation they provide is up to five times better than traditional building materials; that makes for higher energy efficiency since there’s less leakage of heating and cooling. They’re also resistant to fire, water, and insects.

Vantem’s system has been used on buildings in Uruguay, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, and the Caribbean. The company plans to use its Series A funds to expand its operations in the US, namely by building 15 factories to produce its panels. Facilities are planned for Arizona, California, Texas, and North and South Dakota in 2023, with additional sites to be determined and built by the end of the decade. Each Vantem factory will reportedly be able to churn out materials for more than a million square feet of housing a year.

“Construction in this sector has seen the least amount of innovation and productivity gains and is one of the greatest direct and indirect sources of carbon emissions,” said Vantem CEO Chris Anderson in a press release. “At the same time, affordable housing is a global need that must be addressed, but if we build with traditional methods, we will solve one problem only to worsen another. At Vantem, we are committed to addressing both challenges on a global scale.” One project Vantem has in the works entails building 3,000 units of affordable housing in Uruguay.

Vantem isn’t the first company to try putting a hip new spin on prefab and modular homes. Las Vegas-based Boxabl ships pre-fabricated “foldable” houses in a 20-foot-wide load, and once delivered the homes can be up and running in as little as a day. Similarly, Seattle-based Green Canopy NODE homes come in flat-pack kits that fit in standard shipping containers, and they don’t require specialists to assemble.

A 2019 McKinsey report on modular construction says the technique is seeing a comeback, largely thanks to technological improvements; digital tools have facilitated the design of modules and helped optimize delivery logistics. In addition, consumer perception of prefab housing is improving as its designs take on a sleek, modern character. Most importantly, modular construction assisted by digital technologies can make home building up to 50 percent faster, at a cost that’s comparable to or lower than traditional building costs.

According to Anderson, Vantem’s technique makes the building process 50 percent faster than traditional construction methods and around 20 percent less expensive. Adding solar panels makes the buildings net zero (though they don’t come standard as part of the building; their integration will be up to individual homeowners or developers).

Though there are no Vantem homes in the US yet, there could soon be many, with construction of its first domestic factories slated to start next year. With the ongoing shortage would-be homebuyers are experiencing—particularly first-time homebuyers—it won’t be surprising if Vantem quickly has people lining up to put down a deposit.

maxresdefault.jpg
Great concept, but what about long term durability?
 

^SpiderMan^

Mackin Arachnid
BGOL Investor
I think most home construction with be from automation with modular home building. I think the cost of construction will plummet and vacant lots will increase in value. Makes too much sense. We are at least 10 years from this though.
 

Mr.Chuckles

Chuckle
BGOL Investor
Eying on selling my home outside of Orlando. We bought it in 2016 for 222K. We owe like 185K on our mortgage. It's current estimated value on Redfin is 475K. That's not even including the following updates we have made:
  1. new AC unit
  2. new Hot water tank
  3. Screened pool/patio and garage
  4. New front doors (went from single to double doors)
  5. New roof (just last month)
I'm looking to move back north to Buffalo and buy a home in the suburbs. Saw some really nice ones with space for 250K. If we can sell our current home and double our money, I'm paying cash.
DO IT
 

blackpepper

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Im not sure about the Gates backed ones in particular, but Modular homes are more durable than traditional stick built ones.
When I think of modular pre built homes, mobile, trailer park type homes come to mind. Those are typically not as durable as stick built homes.
 

^SpiderMan^

Mackin Arachnid
BGOL Investor
When I think of modular pre built homes, mobile, trailer park type homes come to mind. Those are typically not as durable as stick built homes.

Yeah there is a wide range of prefabricated construction types. What you are describing isn’t modular though.
 

blackpepper

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Yeah there is a wide range of prefabricated construction types. What you are describing isn’t modular though.
You're right. There's a wide range of building techniques and standards. Its up to everyone to understand them and buy the best construction they can afford.
 

EPDC

El Pirate Del Caribe
BGOL Investor
Man...I'm close. Have a few small weekend projects I need to finish up and then I'm listing it. Hell, I might just move into my childhood home with my wife and kids so I don't have to rush into something. My mother has the space for us to stay a month or two lolz. Mom dukes is excited and I'm happy about the prospect. My kids have zero family down here but I have a gang of cousins back home plus my mother isn't getting any younger.
 

mrcmd187

Controversy Creates Cash
BGOL Investor

When you see shit like this you should know what's coming. They have already squeeze all the big money buyers now that well has dried up they are going bottom feeding and some people will jump head first cause they will see the reduced prices and not the fine print. BOA won't be the only one offering this deal and before you know it 2008 all over again. :itsawrap:
 

havelcok

Rising Star
Platinum Member
When you see shit like this you should know what's coming. They have already squeeze all the big money buyers now that well has dried up they are going bottom feeding and some people will jump head first cause they will see the reduced prices and not the fine print. BOA won't be the only one offering this deal and before you know it 2008 all over again. :itsawrap:

classic predatory lending
 

Texas Catdaddy

the omnipotent one .....
Platinum Member
Take a look at this home I found on Realtor.com
4339 Metropolitan Ave, Dallas
$200,000 · 3beds · 2.5baths


Take a look at this home I found on Realtor.com
4015 Metropolitan Ave, Dallas
$200,000 · 3beds · 2baths


sunny south dallas ..... :dunno:
 

blackbull1970

The Black Bastard
Platinum Member
One thing that will contribute to a housing bust that is not being discussed.

That is the quality of these homes currently being built. A lot of these homes being built by these large companies like DH Horton and KB Homes are building shitty homes.

There are a shit load of lawsuits thru-out the country on these homes that have been built since 2000.

Lot of folks in hot climates are buying these 2500sq Ft, two story homes. It gets warm, they crank up the AC to full blast and the home is still hot.

They give up trying to get the warranty thru the builder and call out a local HVAC guy. He drops the bomb on them telling them the house only has one AC unit that cannot cool a two story home. A 2 story home needs 2 AC units.

The homeowner gots to shell out a shit load of money to add a whole new system into the home cuz they ain’t got time waiting on a lawsuit to go thru.

Folks getting homes with faulty foundations, leaky roofs, leaking plumbing, bad or insufficient electrical and a whole list of other issues.

A lot of shit can’t be discovered by a home inspector unless he tears the whole house apart.

And buying a home from a previous owner. You ain’t got no clue what crazy DIY “HGTV” home renovation they did that won’t reveal itself until after you move in.

Nowadays, you taking a big risk and gamble on these homes.
 

Ninja05

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Man. House has been on the market for a little bit. Hella showings but need this shit to hold on for a few minutes longer.

The way I see it. Feds signal rate increase and buyers work to buy now. Rents are stupid so fuck it.
 

Helico-pterFunk

Rising Star
BGOL Legend
One thing that will contribute to a housing bust that is not being discussed.

That is the quality of these homes currently being built. A lot of these homes being built by these large companies like DH Horton and KB Homes are building shitty homes.

There are a shit load of lawsuits thru-out the country on these homes that have been built since 2000.

Lot of folks in hot climates are buying these 2500sq Ft, two story homes. It gets warm, they crank up the AC to full blast and the home is still hot.

They give up trying to get the warranty thru the builder and call out a local HVAC guy. He drops the bomb on them telling them the house only has one AC unit that cannot cool a two story home. A 2 story home needs 2 AC units.

The homeowner gots to shell out a shit load of money to add a whole new system into the home cuz they ain’t got time waiting on a lawsuit to go thru.

Folks getting homes with faulty foundations, leaky roofs, leaking plumbing, bad or insufficient electrical and a whole list of other issues.

A lot of shit can’t be discovered by a home inspector unless he tears the whole house apart.

And buying a home from a previous owner. You ain’t got no clue what crazy DIY “HGTV” home renovation they did that won’t reveal itself until after you move in.

Nowadays, you taking a big risk and gamble on these homes.




Good points.


Agreed re: the quality of the home builds. I've said to some friends and family over the years one simple thing I find a complete eyesore is when you see cheap, shitty fences put up. They clearly don't care about the general curb appeal of the place when you see fences that won't be durable or able to withstand rainy weather markets, or will show considerable wear and tear over time.

Here in B.C. there were horror stories for years with leaky condo roofs - especially from certain builders. And everyone knows it pours like crazy in the Pacific Northwest during stretches of the fall and winter months. Going cheap on roofs led to so many insurance / restoration claims, etc.

Yes - people with their DIY / HGTV projects wherein they take on too much and take forever to complete projects, and don't get it right in the end. And the next owner inherits their problems. It's telling when those HGTV show hosts go to some places and scratch their heads like - "What the fuck were you thinking? Why did this 1-week project take you 18 months to complete? And you still fucked it up?!"
 
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