2024 Severe Weather/Climate Change Thread

praetor

Rising Star
OG Investor
No doubt my man, she was just a bad example because some people don’t deserve sympathy.

You're talking about the headline, not the article. The article covered examples of other inmates that were also impacted and/or killed by the high temperatures.
 

REDLINE

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
You're talking about the headline, not the article. The article covered examples of other inmates that were also impacted and/or killed by the high temperatures.

You're right I am.

I do feel bad for some of them that are in inhumane conditions.
 

darth frosty

Dark Lord of the Sith
BGOL Investor
363360598_658646029623085_7638321422309467181_n.jpg
 

woodchuck

A crowd pleasing man.
OG Investor

What This Year’s ‘Astonishing’ Ocean Heat Means for the Planet​

By Elena Shao Aug. 3, 2023
Brutal heat waves have baked the world this summer and they haven’t been contained to land. Earth’s oceans are the hottest they have been in modern history, by an unusually wide margin.

Daily Average Sea Surface Temperatures​


daily-sst-artboard-600.png

July 31, 2023
69.8° F
69.5° F
69.0°
68.5°
1991-2020 average
68.0°
All other years 1982-2022
67.5°
Nov. 1
Sep. 1
July 1
May 1
Mar. 1
Jan. 1
Dec. 31
Source: Climate Reanalyzer, Climate Change Institute at the University of Maine, based on data from NOAA Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (OISST)

Note: Average sea surface temperatures for ocean areas between 60 degrees north and 60 degrees south latitude are shown.
The planet’s average sea surface temperature spiked to a record high in April and the ocean has remained exceptionally warm ever since. In July, widespread marine heat waves drove temperatures back up to near-record highs, with some hot spots nearing 100 degrees Fahrenheit, or nearly 38 Celsius.
“I find it kind of astonishing,” said Gregory Johnson, an oceanographer at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, referring to this year’s trend. “This is a pretty big step up.”
The North Atlantic has seen some of the most exceptional warmth, with recent temperatures consistently reaching more than 2 degrees Fahrenheit, or 1.1 Celsius, higher than what is typical for this time of year.
Taking a dip in the waters off the coast of the Florida Keys could, at times, feel like stepping into a hot tub. Last week, one reading from a buoy recorded a stunning 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit, or just over 38 Celsius, possibly a world record for sea surface temperatures.

The extreme heat is devastating Florida’s coral reefs, but high ocean temperatures can have more widespread impacts, too, disrupting other marine ecosystems and the communities that depend on them.
El Niño, a recurring global climate pattern that is typically linked to warmer conditions in many regions, arrived in June, and is one contributor to the spike in global sea surface temperatures, said Michelle L’Heureux, a climate scientist with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
But the underlying influence of human-driven climate change is undeniable, she added.
Global sea surface temperatures have been increasing since at least the early 20th century, when humans began sharply increasing the amount of greenhouse gases pumped into the atmosphere.

Is It Worse Than Scientists Expected?

This year’s spike in global sea surface temperatures is concerning, but it is not exactly unexpected in a warming world, said Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at Berkeley Earth, a nonprofit research institute.
Global climate models have projected how oceans could heat up if we continue to pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere at roughly our current rate, and July’s high sea surface temperatures falls within the expected range, though at the higher end.

How July’s Ocean Temperature Compares with Projections from Climate Models​

Projected sea surface temperature compared with a 1991-2020 baseline

climate-models-artboard-600.png

+4° F
+3°
July 2023
+2°
+1°
Range projected by climate models

−1°
Average of models
−2°
1850
1900
1950
2000
2050
2100
Source: Zeke Hausfather, using climate model data from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, accessed through the World Meteorological Organization’s KNMI Climate Explorer

Note: Chart shows the very likely range of model projections across 40 climate models in the SSP2-4.5 scenario.
In the North Atlantic, however, temperatures have been warmer than climate models projected. That suggests “something somewhat extraordinary may be happening there,” Dr. Hausfather said.
Experts have speculated that other factors, in addition to human-caused climate change and the arrival of El Niño, could be contributing to this year’s exceptional ocean heat.
Some have suggested that international rules aimed at reducing air pollution from maritime shipping could have inadvertently increased ocean warming. Others point to the unusual absence of Saharan dust over the North Atlantic this year, which can also have a cooling effect by blocking sunlight.

The eruption of an underwater volcano in the Pacific Ocean near Tonga last year, which spewed tens of millions of tons of water vapor into the stratosphere, may have also influenced this year’s ocean temperatures. Water vapor, like carbon dioxide, is a greenhouse gas that traps heat near Earth’s surface.
But early analyses have so far suggested that those factors cannot account for all of this year’s extra warming.
“The level of warmth we are seeing today is only possible because of the warming over the past 150 years due to human activity,” Dr. Hausfather said.
Scientists expect warm ocean conditions to continue into the fall, with El Niño intensifying in the months ahead.

The Ocean Absorbs More Heat than Land​

While sea surface readings take the temperature of the top layer of the ocean, up to a few hundred feet deep, climate scientists have also been charting how much heat is being absorbed by the ocean as a whole. In short: A lot.

Estimated Heat Accumulation​


heat-inventory-artboard-600.png

300
200
Ocean
Land
Ice
Atmosphere
100 zettajoules
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Source: von Schuckmann, et al., Earth System Science Data

Note: The chart does not show the range of uncertainty. In 2020, the total system had accumulated 381 zettajoules of heat energy with an uncertainty range of +/- 61 zettajoules.
The ocean, which covers about 70 percent of the world’s surface, has absorbed more than 90 percent of the heat unleashed by the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation and other human activity.
Put another way, the majority of the human-driven warming that has happened on Earth over the past six decades has accumulated in the ocean. But water has a much higher capacity than land to absorb and store all that heat.
The ocean has “been doing us a big service by delaying global warming considerably,” Dr. Johnson said, “but it comes at a cost.” As the ocean stores more heat, its water expands, contributing to sea level rise. Warmer ocean temperatures also provide more fodder for tropical cyclones and atmospheric river storms.
By the end of the century, ocean warming could contribute to a weakening, or even a shutdown, of the Atlantic ocean currents that help regulate the climate for a swath of the planet, a new analysis found.
“In many ways,” Dr. Hausfather said, the ocean is “the most accurate thermometer we have for the actual effect of climate change, because it’s where most of the heat ends up.”

Source for the top map: NOAA Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (OISST) | Note: Temperature anomalies in the map are calculated using a 1971-2000 baseline.
 

blackbull1970

The Black Bastard
Platinum Member
Yeah…it’s coming…

The Big One is coming to Fuck some shit up!!! :cool:

NOAA Increases Likelihood Of Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season

 

praetor

Rising Star
OG Investor
It’s a fucking desert

People have been living there for thousands of years, but soon it will be too hot.

"According to the Middle East Institute, some 70% of all Iranians might need to leave the country to survive by 2050."

"Iran is a warm place every summer. But what has been happening in the last two to three years has been dramatic for the country. It is an emergency."

 

easy_b

Easy_b is in the place to be.
BGOL Investor
People have been living there for thousands of years, but soon it will be too hot.

"According to the Middle East Institute, some 70% of all Iranians might need to leave the country to survive by 2050."

"Iran is a warm place every summer. But what has been happening in the last two to three years has been dramatic for the country. It is an emergency."

Some people may need to leave some parts of the United States by that time because of flooding. Also, the time frame may be moved up a little bit.
 
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